/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fenglog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fgerlog.png)
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Declan Rice
8'
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Kalvin Phillips
45'
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Raheem Sterling
75'
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Harry Maguire
77'
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Harry Kane
86'
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Matthias Ginter
25'
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Robin Gosens
72'
England vs Germany - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
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Feature
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The match
Result
Team News
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F09%2Fmason-mount.jpg)
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F23%2Fengcro.JPG)
Predicted Lineups
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F25%2Fgerhun.jpg)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Germany win with a probability of 43.61%. A win for England had a probability of 37.01% and a draw had a probability of 19.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Germany win was 1-2 with a probability of 6.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-3 (5.53%) and 1-3 (5.13%). The likeliest England win was 2-1 (6.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 2-2 (7.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.
Result
England
37.01%
Draw
19.38%
Germany
43.61%
Both Teams to Score:
79.84%
Goals
Over 2.5
82.52%
Under 2.5
17.48%
Over 3.5
65.59%
Under 3.5
34.42%
England Goals
Over 0.5
88.4%
Under 0.5
11.6%
Over 1.5
63.41%
Under 1.5
36.59%
Germany Goals
Over 0.5
90.32%
Under 0.5
9.68%
Over 1.5
67.71%
Under 1.5
32.29%
Score analysis
England
37.01%
Draw
19.38%
Germany
43.61%
England
2-1
@
6.09%
3-2 @ 5.1%
3-1 @ 4.37%
4-2 @ 2.75%
2-0 @ 2.61%
1-0 @ 2.42%
4-1 @ 2.35%
4-3 @ 2.14%
3-0 @ 1.87%
5-2 @ 1.18%
5-1 @ 1.01%
4-0 @ 1.01%
Other @ 4.11%
Total : 37.01%
3-2 @ 5.1%
3-1 @ 4.37%
4-2 @ 2.75%
2-0 @ 2.61%
1-0 @ 2.42%
4-1 @ 2.35%
4-3 @ 2.14%
3-0 @ 1.87%
5-2 @ 1.18%
5-1 @ 1.01%
4-0 @ 1.01%
Other @ 4.11%
Total : 37.01%
Draw
2-2
@
7.1%
1-1 @ 5.65%
3-3 @ 3.97%
4-4 @ 1.25%
0-0 @ 1.12%
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 19.38%
1-1 @ 5.65%
3-3 @ 3.97%
4-4 @ 1.25%
0-0 @ 1.12%
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 19.38%
Germany
1-2
@
6.6%
2-3 @ 5.53%
1-3 @ 5.13%
2-4 @ 3.23%
0-2 @ 3.06%
1-4 @ 3%
0-1 @ 2.62%
0-3 @ 2.38%
3-4 @ 2.32%
2-5 @ 1.51%
1-5 @ 1.4%
0-4 @ 1.39%
3-5 @ 1.08%
Other @ 4.37%
Total : 43.61%
2-3 @ 5.53%
1-3 @ 5.13%
2-4 @ 3.23%
0-2 @ 3.06%
1-4 @ 3%
0-1 @ 2.62%
0-3 @ 2.38%
3-4 @ 2.32%
2-5 @ 1.51%
1-5 @ 1.4%
0-4 @ 1.39%
3-5 @ 1.08%
Other @ 4.37%
Total : 43.61%
Head to Head
Build-up
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