Euro 2020

European Championship | Group Stage

Jun 23, 2021 at 8pm UK

Germany
2 - 2
Hungary

Havertz (66'), Goretzka (84')
Gundogan (29'), Sane (61')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Szalai (11'), Schafer (68')
Botka (28'), Szalai (64'), Fiola (66')

Reaction

Germany manager Joachim Low pictured on June 2, 2021

Joachim Low expecting "a totally different" game against England

A late equaliser from Leon Goretzka sealed a 2-2 draw with Hungary and a place in the last 16 of Euro 2020.

Jun 23, 23:00

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Germany win with a probability of 59.84%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Hungary had a probability of 16.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Germany win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.94%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.96%), while for a Hungary win it was 0-1 (6.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.

Result
Germany	Draw	Hungary
59.84%	23.29%	16.87%

Both teams to score 45.43%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.72%

53.27%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.17%

74.83%

Germany Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.51%

17.49%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.01%

47.99%

Hungary Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.06%

44.94%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.11%

80.88%

Score Analysis

Germany 59.83%

Hungary 16.87%

Draw 23.29%

Germany	Draw	Hungary
1-0 @ 13.7% 2-0 @ 11.94% 2-1 @ 9.56% 3-0 @ 6.94% 3-1 @ 5.55% 4-0 @ 3.03% 4-1 @ 2.42% 3-2 @ 2.22% 5-0 @ 1.06% 4-2 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.44% Total : 59.83%	1-1 @ 10.96% 0-0 @ 7.86% 2-2 @ 3.82% Other @ 0.65% Total : 23.29%	0-1 @ 6.29% 1-2 @ 4.38% 0-2 @ 2.52% 1-3 @ 1.17% 2-3 @ 1.02% Other @ 1.5% Total : 16.87%