Euro 2020

European Championship | Group Stage

Jun 15, 2021 at 5pm UK

Hungary
0 - 3
Portugal

Nego (80'), Orban (86')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Guerreiro (84'), Ronaldo (87' pen., 90+2')
Dias (38')

Reaction

Portugal's head coach Fernando Santos reacts on June 9, 2021

Portugal boss Fernando Santos believes Hungary win was "good enough"

The defending champions took the lead in the last 10 minutes but went on to win 3-0.

Jun 15, 21:00

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portugal win with a probability of 61.67%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Hungary had a probability of 13.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portugal win was 0-1 with a probability of 18.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (14.59%) and 1-2 (8.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.15%), while for a Hungary win it was 1-0 (6.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portugal would win this match.

Result
Hungary	Draw	Portugal
13.17%	25.16%	61.67%

Both teams to score 33.69%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

35.24%

64.76%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

16.28%

83.72%

Hungary Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

42.77%

57.23%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

10.83%

89.17%

Portugal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.77%

21.23%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.86%

54.14%

Score Analysis

Hungary 13.17%

Portugal 61.67%

Draw 25.15%

Hungary	Draw	Portugal
1-0 @ 6.78% 2-1 @ 2.93% 2-0 @ 1.89% Other @ 1.56% Total : 13.17%	0-0 @ 12.15% 1-1 @ 10.5% 2-2 @ 2.27% Other @ 0.23% Total : 25.15%	0-1 @ 18.83% 0-2 @ 14.59% 1-2 @ 8.14% 0-3 @ 7.54% 1-3 @ 4.21% 0-4 @ 2.92% 1-4 @ 1.63% 2-3 @ 1.17% 0-5 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.74% Total : 61.67%