Euro 2020

European Championship | Group Stage

Jun 19, 2021 at 2pm UK

Hungary
1 - 1
France

Fiola (45+2')
Botka (52')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Griezmann (66')
Pavard (10')

Reaction

Wales' Connor Roberts celebrates scoring their second goal with Harry Wilson on June 16, 2021

Euro 2020 day 10: Wales eye shock Italy win to make last 16

Victory over the Italians, who have won both of their opening matches to already qualify, would see Wales top Group A.

Jun 20, 06:52

France coach Didier Deschamps celebrates with Kylian Mbappe after the match on June 15, 2021

Didier Deschamps praises Hungary after France draw

The result leaves France with four points heading into their final Group F game against holders Portugal.

Jun 19, 17:24

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a France win with a probability of 61.91%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Hungary had a probability of 16.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a France win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.41%) and 1-2 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.32%), while for a Hungary win it was 1-0 (5.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.

Result
Hungary	Draw	France
16.39%	21.71%	61.91%

Both teams to score 49.12%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.21%

47.79%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.02%

69.98%

Hungary Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.71%

42.29%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.32%

78.68%

France Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.1%

14.9%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.74%

43.27%

Score Analysis

Hungary 16.39%

France 61.89%

Draw 21.7%

Hungary	Draw	France
1-0 @ 5.42% 2-1 @ 4.44% 2-0 @ 2.33% 3-1 @ 1.28% 3-2 @ 1.21% Other @ 1.7% Total : 16.39%	1-1 @ 10.32% 0-0 @ 6.3% 2-2 @ 4.23% Other @ 0.85% Total : 21.7%	0-1 @ 11.99% 0-2 @ 11.41% 1-2 @ 9.83% 0-3 @ 7.25% 1-3 @ 6.24% 0-4 @ 3.45% 1-4 @ 2.97% 2-3 @ 2.68% 0-5 @ 1.31% 2-4 @ 1.28% 1-5 @ 1.13% Other @ 2.36% Total : 61.89%