World Cup Qualifying - Europe
Sep 2, 2021 7.45pm
2
5
HT : 1 2
FT
  • Mattias Kait 2' goal
  • Joonas Tamm 55' yellowcard
  • Erik Sorga 83' goal
  • goal Hans Vanaken 22'
  • goal Romelu Lukaku 29'
  • yellowcard Romelu Lukaku 47'
  • goal Romelu Lukaku 52'
  • yellowcard Alexis Saelemaekers 61'
  • goal Axel Witsel 64'
  • goal Thomas Foket 76'

Estonia vs Belgium - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Estonia

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying - Europe
Last game
Mar 27, 2021 5.00pm
Belarus 4 - 2 Estonia

Belgium

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying - Europe
Last game
Mar 30, 2021 7.45pm
Belgium 8 - 0 Belarus

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belgium win with a probability of 64.26%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Estonia had a probability of 13.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Belgium win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.54%) and 1-2 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.24%), while for a Estonia win it was 1-0 (5.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Belgium would win this match.

Result

Estonia 13.54%
Draw 22.2%
Belgium 64.26%

Both Teams to Score: 

41.28%

Goals

Over 2.5 45.22%
Under 2.5 54.78%
Over 3.5 23.91%
Under 3.5 76.09%

Estonia Goals

Over 0.5 49.43%
Under 0.5 50.57%
Over 1.5 14.95%
Under 1.5 85.05%

Belgium Goals

Over 0.5 83.51%
Under 0.5 16.48%
Over 1.5 53.8%
Under 1.5 46.2%

Score analysis

Estonia 13.54%
Draw 22.19%
Belgium 64.25%
Estonia
1-0 @ 5.68%
2-1 @ 3.49%
2-0 @ 1.94%
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 13.54%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.24%
0-0 @ 8.34%
2-2 @ 3.15%
Other @ 0.47%
Total : 22.19%
Belgium
0-1 @ 15.02%
0-2 @ 13.54%
1-2 @ 9.24%
0-3 @ 8.14%
1-3 @ 5.55%
0-4 @ 3.67%
1-4 @ 2.5%
2-3 @ 1.89%
0-5 @ 1.32%
Other @ 3.38%
Total : 64.25%

Head to Head

World Cup Qualifying - Europe
Jun 9, 2017 7.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • goal Dries Mertens 31'
  • goal Nacer Chadli 86'
World Cup Qualifying - Europe
Nov 13, 2016 7.45pm
8
1
HT : 3 1
FT
  • Thomas Meunier 8' goal
  • Dries Mertens 16' goal
  • Eden Hazard 25' goal
  • Yannick Carrasco 62' goal
  • Ragnar Klavan 65' goal
  • Dries Mertens 68' goal
  • Romelu Lukaku 83' goal
  • Romelu Lukaku 88' goal
  • goal Henri Anier 30'