World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Europe | Group Stage

Sep 2, 2021 at 7.45pm UK

Estonia
2 - 5
Belgium

Kait (2'), Sorga (83')
Tamm (55')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Vanaken (22'), Lukaku (29', 52'), Witsel (64'), Foket (76')
Lukaku (47'), Saelemaekers (61')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - Europe clash between Estonia and Belgium, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belgium win with a probability of 64.26%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Estonia had a probability of 13.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Belgium win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.54%) and 1-2 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.24%), while for a Estonia win it was 1-0 (5.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Belgium would win this match.

Result
Estonia	Draw	Belgium
13.54%	22.2%	64.26%

Both teams to score 41.28%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.22%

54.78%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.91%

76.09%

Estonia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

49.43%

50.57%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

14.95%

85.05%

Belgium Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.51%

16.48%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.8%

46.2%

Score Analysis

Estonia 13.54%

Belgium 64.25%

Draw 22.19%

Estonia	Draw	Belgium
1-0 @ 5.68% 2-1 @ 3.49% 2-0 @ 1.94% Other @ 2.42% Total : 13.54%	1-1 @ 10.24% 0-0 @ 8.34% 2-2 @ 3.15% Other @ 0.47% Total : 22.19%	0-1 @ 15.02% 0-2 @ 13.54% 1-2 @ 9.24% 0-3 @ 8.14% 1-3 @ 5.55% 0-4 @ 3.67% 1-4 @ 2.5% 2-3 @ 1.89% 0-5 @ 1.32% 1-5 @ 0.9% Other @ 2.48% Total : 64.25%

How you voted: Estonia vs Belgium

Estonia

14.4%

Draw

7.7%

Belgium

77.9%