Euro 2020

European Championship | Group Stage

Jun 21, 2021 at 8pm UK

Saint-Petersburg Stadium

Finland
0 - 2
Belgium

FT(HT: 0-0)

Hradecky (74' og.), Lukaku (81')

Reaction

Belgium manager Roberto Martinez pictured on June 6, 2021

Roberto Martinez hails "professional" performance as Belgium win again

An unfortunate own goal from keeper Lukas Hradecky and a late strike from Romelu Lukaku sealed the Belgians' 2-0 win over Finland.

Jun 21, 22:39

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belgium win with a probability of 61.7%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Finland had a probability of 16.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Belgium win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.1%) and 1-2 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.24%), while for a Finland win it was 1-0 (5.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Belgium would win this match.

Result
Finland	Draw	Belgium
16.75%	21.55%	61.7%

Both teams to score 50.36%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.48%

46.52%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.21%

68.79%

Finland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.93%

41.07%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.38%

77.61%

Belgium Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.45%

14.54%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.42%

42.58%

Score Analysis

Finland 16.75%

Belgium 61.7%

Draw 21.54%

Finland	Draw	Belgium
1-0 @ 5.32% 2-1 @ 4.56% 2-0 @ 2.37% 3-1 @ 1.35% 3-2 @ 1.3% Other @ 1.85% Total : 16.75%	1-1 @ 10.24% 0-0 @ 5.97% 2-2 @ 4.4% Other @ 0.93% Total : 21.54%	0-1 @ 11.51% 0-2 @ 11.1% 1-2 @ 9.88% 0-3 @ 7.14% 1-3 @ 6.35% 0-4 @ 3.44% 1-4 @ 3.06% 2-3 @ 2.83% 2-4 @ 1.36% 0-5 @ 1.33% 1-5 @ 1.18% Other @ 2.53% Total : 61.7%