Euro 2020

European Championship | Group Stage

Jun 12, 2021 at 8pm UK

Saint-Petersburg Stadium

Belgium
3 - 0
Russia

Lukaku (10', 88'), Meunier (34')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Reaction

Belgium manager Roberto Martinez pictured on June 6, 2021

Roberto Martinez hails "very pleasing" Belgium win over Russia

One of the favourites for the tournament cruised to a routine triumph over Russia in their opening match.

Jun 12, 22:58

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belgium win with a probability of 53.18%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Russia had a probability of 23.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Belgium win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.77%) and 2-0 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.07%), while for a Russia win it was 0-1 (6.27%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Belgium would win this match.

Result
Belgium	Draw	Russia
53.18%	23.44%	23.38%

Both teams to score 55.02%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.37%

45.64%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.04%

67.96%

Belgium Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.88%

17.12%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.67%

47.33%

Russia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.39%

33.61%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.74%

70.26%

Score Analysis

Belgium 53.17%

Russia 23.38%

Draw 23.44%

Belgium	Draw	Russia
1-0 @ 10.15% 2-1 @ 9.77% 2-0 @ 8.96% 3-1 @ 5.75% 3-0 @ 5.27% 3-2 @ 3.13% 4-1 @ 2.54% 4-0 @ 2.33% 4-2 @ 1.38% Other @ 3.88% Total : 53.17%	1-1 @ 11.07% 0-0 @ 5.75% 2-2 @ 5.33% 3-3 @ 1.14% Other @ 0.15% Total : 23.44%	0-1 @ 6.27% 1-2 @ 6.04% 0-2 @ 3.42% 1-3 @ 2.19% 2-3 @ 1.94% 0-3 @ 1.24% Other @ 2.28% Total : 23.38%