World Cup Qualifying - Europe
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Kevin De Bruyne
22'
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Thorgan Hazard
28'
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Romelu Lukaku
73'
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Thorgan Hazard
75'
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Harry Wilson
10'
Belgium vs Wales - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Reaction
News
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News
The match
Result
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Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belgium win with a probability of 62.82%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Wales had a probability of 15.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Belgium win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.36%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.39%), while for a Wales win it was 0-1 (5.62%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Belgium would win this match.
Result
Belgium
62.82%
Draw
22.02%
Wales
15.16%
Both Teams to Score:
45.54%
Goals
Over 2.5
48.83%
Under 2.5
51.17%
Over 3.5
26.99%
Under 3.5
73.01%
Belgium Goals
Over 0.5
84.27%
Under 0.5
15.73%
Over 1.5
55.17%
Under 1.5
44.82%
Wales Goals
Over 0.5
54.04%
Under 0.5
45.96%
Over 1.5
18.31%
Under 1.5
81.69%
Score analysis
Belgium
62.81%
Draw
22.01%
Wales
15.16%
Belgium
1-0
@
13.37%
2-0 @ 12.36%
2-1 @ 9.61%
3-0 @ 7.62%
3-1 @ 5.93%
4-0 @ 3.53%
4-1 @ 2.74%
3-2 @ 2.3%
5-0 @ 1.3%
4-2 @ 1.07%
5-1 @ 1.01%
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 62.81%
2-0 @ 12.36%
2-1 @ 9.61%
3-0 @ 7.62%
3-1 @ 5.93%
4-0 @ 3.53%
4-1 @ 2.74%
3-2 @ 2.3%
5-0 @ 1.3%
4-2 @ 1.07%
5-1 @ 1.01%
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 62.81%
Draw
1-1
@
10.39%
0-0 @ 7.23%
2-2 @ 3.74%
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 22.01%
0-0 @ 7.23%
2-2 @ 3.74%
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 22.01%
Wales
0-1
@
5.62%
1-2 @ 4.04%
0-2 @ 2.19%
1-3 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 15.16%
1-2 @ 4.04%
0-2 @ 2.19%
1-3 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 15.16%