World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Europe | Group Stage

Mar 24, 2021 at 7.45pm UK

King Power at Den Dreef Stadion

Belgium
3 - 1
Wales

De Bruyne (22'), Hazard (28'), Lukaku (73' pen.)
Hazard (75')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Wilson (10')

Reaction

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The Match

Match Report

The world's number one team showed their class after falling behind to Harry Wilson's early strike.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's World Cup 2022 qualifier between Belgium and Wales, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belgium win with a probability of 62.82%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Wales had a probability of 15.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Belgium win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.36%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.39%), while for a Wales win it was 0-1 (5.62%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Belgium would win this match.

Result
Belgium	Draw	Wales
62.82%	22.02%	15.16%

Both teams to score 45.54%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.83%

51.17%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.99%

73.01%

Belgium Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.27%

15.73%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.17%

44.82%

Wales Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.04%

45.96%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.31%

81.69%

Score Analysis

Belgium 62.81%

Wales 15.16%

Draw 22.01%

Belgium	Draw	Wales
1-0 @ 13.37% 2-0 @ 12.36% 2-1 @ 9.61% 3-0 @ 7.62% 3-1 @ 5.93% 4-0 @ 3.53% 4-1 @ 2.74% 3-2 @ 2.3% 5-0 @ 1.3% 4-2 @ 1.07% 5-1 @ 1.01% Other @ 1.96% Total : 62.81%	1-1 @ 10.39% 0-0 @ 7.23% 2-2 @ 3.74% Other @ 0.65% Total : 22.01%	0-1 @ 5.62% 1-2 @ 4.04% 0-2 @ 2.19% 1-3 @ 1.05% 2-3 @ 0.97% Other @ 1.3% Total : 15.16%