/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Ficelog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fbellog.png)
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Birkir Mar Saevarsson
17'
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Romelu Lukaku
9'
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Romelu Lukaku
38'
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Axel Witsel
85'
Iceland vs Belgium - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F22%2Froberto-martinez.jpg)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belgium win with a probability of 60.95%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Iceland had a probability of 16.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Belgium win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.97%) and 1-2 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.72%), while for a Iceland win it was 1-0 (5.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Belgium would win this match.
Result
Iceland
16.36%
Draw
22.7%
Belgium
60.95%
Both Teams to Score:
46.1%
Goals
Over 2.5
48.19%
Under 2.5
51.81%
Over 3.5
26.43%
Under 3.5
73.57%
Iceland Goals
Over 0.5
55.27%
Under 0.5
44.73%
Over 1.5
19.28%
Under 1.5
80.72%
Belgium Goals
Over 0.5
83.42%
Under 0.5
16.58%
Over 1.5
53.62%
Under 1.5
46.38%
Score analysis
Iceland
16.36%
Draw
22.69%
Belgium
60.94%
Iceland
1-0
@
5.97%
2-1 @ 4.31%
2-0 @ 2.4%
3-1 @ 1.16%
3-2 @ 1.04%
Other @ 1.48%
Total : 16.36%
2-1 @ 4.31%
2-0 @ 2.4%
3-1 @ 1.16%
3-2 @ 1.04%
Other @ 1.48%
Total : 16.36%
Draw
1-1
@
10.72%
0-0 @ 7.42%
2-2 @ 3.88%
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 22.69%
0-0 @ 7.42%
2-2 @ 3.88%
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 22.69%
Belgium
0-1
@
13.32%
0-2 @ 11.97%
1-2 @ 9.63%
0-3 @ 7.17%
1-3 @ 5.77%
0-4 @ 3.22%
1-4 @ 2.59%
2-3 @ 2.32%
0-5 @ 1.16%
2-4 @ 1.04%
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 60.94%
0-2 @ 11.97%
1-2 @ 9.63%
0-3 @ 7.17%
1-3 @ 5.77%
0-4 @ 3.22%
1-4 @ 2.59%
2-3 @ 2.32%
0-5 @ 1.16%
2-4 @ 1.04%
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 60.94%