Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Latvia win with a probability of 38.22%. A win for Estonia had a probability of 33.03% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Latvia win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.82%) and 0-2 (7.31%). The likeliest Estonia win was 1-0 (11.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Estonia | Draw | Latvia |
| 33.03% | 28.74% | 38.22% |
| Both teams to score 45.37% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.89% | 61.11% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.92% | 81.08% |
| Estonia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.69% | 34.31% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.99% | 71.02% |
| Latvia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.08% | 30.92% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.78% | 67.22% |
| Score Analysis |
Estonia 33.03%
Latvia 38.22%
Draw 28.74%
| Estonia | Draw | Latvia |
| 1-0 @ 11.35% 2-1 @ 7.13% 2-0 @ 6.07% 3-1 @ 2.54% 3-0 @ 2.17% 3-2 @ 1.49% Other @ 2.29% Total : 33.03% | 1-1 @ 13.32% 0-0 @ 10.61% 2-2 @ 4.18% Other @ 0.63% Total : 28.74% | 0-1 @ 12.45% 1-2 @ 7.82% 0-2 @ 7.31% 1-3 @ 3.06% 0-3 @ 2.86% 2-3 @ 1.64% Other @ 3.09% Total : 38.22% |
How you voted: Estonia vs Latvia
Estonia
65.6%Draw
15.6%Latvia
18.8%64


