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World Cup

Turkey national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Europe | Group Stage
Mar 30, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Atatürk Olimpiyat Stadı
Latvia national football team

Turkey
3 - 3
Latvia

Karaman (2'), Calhanoglu (33'), Yilmaz (52' pen.)
Soyuncu (55'), Unal (90'), Turuc (90+4')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Savaļnieks (35'), Uldrikis (58'), Ikaunieks (79')
Kamess (68'), Emsis (71'), Fjodorovs (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's World Cup Qualifying - Europe clash between Turkey and Latvia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Turkey win with a probability of 59.37%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Latvia had a probability of 14.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Turkey win was 1-0 with a probability of 18.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.78%) and 2-1 (8.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.11%), while for a Latvia win it was 0-1 (7.3%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.

Result
TurkeyDrawLatvia
59.37%25.89%14.74%
Both teams to score 35.23%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
35.33%64.67%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.34%83.66%
Turkey Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.87%22.12%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.5%55.5%
Latvia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
45.24%54.75%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
12.26%87.73%
Score Analysis
    Turkey 59.37%
    Latvia 14.74%
    Draw 25.88%
TurkeyDrawLatvia
1-0 @ 18.27%
2-0 @ 13.78%
2-1 @ 8.3%
3-0 @ 6.93%
3-1 @ 4.17%
4-0 @ 2.61%
4-1 @ 1.57%
3-2 @ 1.26%
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 59.37%
0-0 @ 12.11%
1-1 @ 11%
2-2 @ 2.5%
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 25.88%
0-1 @ 7.3%
1-2 @ 3.32%
0-2 @ 2.2%
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 14.74%