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World Cup

Latvia national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Europe | Group Stage
Mar 24, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Stadions Skonto
Montenegro national football team

Latvia
1 - 2
Montenegro

Ikaunieks (40')
Kamess (10'), Cernomordijs (53'), Karklins (79'), Tobers (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Jovetic (41', 83')
Vujacic (45')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's World Cup qualifier between Latvia and Montenegro, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montenegro win with a probability of 47.18%. A draw had a probability of 27.8% and a win for Latvia had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Montenegro win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.6%) and 1-2 (8.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.81%), while for a Latvia win it was 1-0 (9.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Montenegro would win this match.

Result
LatviaDrawMontenegro
25%27.82%47.18%
Both teams to score 43.92%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.01%60.98%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.02%80.98%
Latvia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.33%40.67%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.74%77.26%
Montenegro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.03%25.96%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.02%60.98%
Score Analysis
    Latvia 25%
    Montenegro 47.17%
    Draw 27.81%
LatviaDrawMontenegro
1-0 @ 9.5%
2-1 @ 5.76%
2-0 @ 4.27%
3-1 @ 1.73%
3-0 @ 1.28%
3-2 @ 1.17%
Other @ 1.29%
Total : 25%
1-1 @ 12.81%
0-0 @ 10.55%
2-2 @ 3.89%
Other @ 0.57%
Total : 27.81%
0-1 @ 14.23%
0-2 @ 9.6%
1-2 @ 8.64%
0-3 @ 4.32%
1-3 @ 3.88%
2-3 @ 1.75%
0-4 @ 1.46%
1-4 @ 1.31%
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 47.17%