World Cup Qualifying - Europe
Mar 27, 2021 5.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Johan Cruijff Arena
  • Steven Berghuis 32' goal
  • Luuk de Jong 52' yellowcard
  • Luuk de Jong 69' goal
  • Daley Blind 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Janis Ikaunieks 34'
  • yellowcard Kriss Karklins 52'

Netherlands vs Latvia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

Netherlands

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying - Europe
Last game
Mar 24, 2021 5.00pm
Turkey 4 - 2 Netherlands

Latvia

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying - Europe
Last game
Mar 24, 2021 7.45pm
Latvia 1 - 2 Montenegro

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Netherlands win with a probability of 64.11%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Latvia had a probability of 13.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Netherlands win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.16%) and 2-1 (8.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.27%), while for a Latvia win it was 0-1 (5.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 14.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Netherlands would win this match.

Result

Netherlands 64.11%
Draw 22.87%
Latvia 13.03%

Both Teams to Score: 

38.37%

Goals

Over 2.5 41.97%
Under 2.5 58.04%
Over 3.5 21.29%
Under 3.5 78.72%

Netherlands Goals

Over 0.5 82.3%
Under 0.5 17.7%
Over 1.5 51.65%
Under 1.5 48.35%

Latvia Goals

Over 0.5 46.63%
Under 0.5 53.38%
Over 1.5 13.12%
Under 1.5 86.89%

Score analysis

Netherlands 64.1%
Draw 22.87%
Latvia 13.03%
Netherlands
1-0 @ 16.36%
2-0 @ 14.16%
2-1 @ 8.89%
3-0 @ 8.18%
3-1 @ 5.13%
4-0 @ 3.54%
4-1 @ 2.22%
3-2 @ 1.61%
5-0 @ 1.23%
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 64.1%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.27%
0-0 @ 9.45%
2-2 @ 2.79%
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 22.87%
Latvia
0-1 @ 5.93%
1-2 @ 3.22%
0-2 @ 1.86%
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 13.03%

Head to Head

European Championship
Jun 12, 2015 7.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Deniss Rakels 13' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Bruno Martins Indi 65'
  • goal Georginio Wijnaldum 67'
  • goal Luciano Narsingh 72'
European Championship
Nov 16, 2014 5.00pm
6
0
HT : 3 0
FT
  • Robin van Persie 6' goal
  • Arjen Robben 35' goal
  • Klaas-Jan Huntelaar 42' goal
  • Stefan de Vrij 71' yellowcard
  • Jeffrey Bruma 78' goal
  • Arjen Robben 82' goal
  • Klaas-Jan Huntelaar 89' goal
  • yellowcard Arturs Zjuzins 24'
  • yellowcard Antons Kurakins 26'
  • yellowcard Olegs Laizans 57'