Latvia national football team
Baltic Cup | Group Stage
Jun 4, 2021 at 5pm UK
Stadions Daugava
Lithuania national football team

Latvia
3 - 1
Lithuania

Beneta (37' og.), Emsis (69'), Uldrikis (85')
Cigaņiks (49')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Golubickas (67')
Coverage of the Baltic Cup Group Stage clash between Latvia and Lithuania.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lithuania win with a probability of 43.45%. A win for Latvia had a probability of 34.07% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lithuania win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.04%) and 0-2 (5.48%). The likeliest Latvia win was 2-1 (7.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.59%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.

Result
LatviaDrawLithuania
34.07%22.49%43.45%
Both teams to score 66.62%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.09%33.92%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.23%55.77%
Latvia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.58%20.43%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.13%52.87%
Lithuania Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.71%16.29%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.15%45.85%
Score Analysis
    Latvia 34.07%
    Lithuania 43.45%
    Draw 22.49%
LatviaDrawLithuania
2-1 @ 7.62%
1-0 @ 5.29%
2-0 @ 4.2%
3-1 @ 4.03%
3-2 @ 3.66%
3-0 @ 2.22%
4-1 @ 1.6%
4-2 @ 1.45%
Other @ 4%
Total : 34.07%
1-1 @ 9.59%
2-2 @ 6.91%
0-0 @ 3.33%
3-3 @ 2.21%
Other @ 0.45%
Total : 22.49%
1-2 @ 8.7%
0-1 @ 6.04%
0-2 @ 5.48%
1-3 @ 5.26%
2-3 @ 4.18%
0-3 @ 3.31%
1-4 @ 2.39%
2-4 @ 1.9%
0-4 @ 1.5%
3-4 @ 1%
Other @ 3.68%
Total : 43.45%

rhs 2.0


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