World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Europe | Group Stage

Oct 11, 2021 at 7.45pm UK

Estonia
0 - 1
Wales

Pikk (24'), Kait (31'), Kuusk (59')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Moore (12')
Wilson (35'), Thomas (55'), Moore (64'), Allen (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's World Cup Qualifying - Europe clash between Estonia and Wales, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wales win with a probability of 42.52%. A win for Estonia had a probability of 32.21% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wales win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.94%) and 0-2 (7.04%). The likeliest Estonia win was 1-0 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Wales in this match.

Result
Estonia	Draw	Wales
32.21%	25.26%	42.52%

Both teams to score 55.84%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.29%

47.71%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.1%

69.9%

Estonia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.94%

28.06%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.28%

63.72%

Wales Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.63%

22.37%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.13%

55.87%

Score Analysis

Estonia 32.21%

Wales 42.52%

Draw 25.26%

Estonia	Draw	Wales
1-0 @ 7.98% 2-1 @ 7.59% 2-0 @ 5.07% 3-1 @ 3.22% 3-2 @ 2.41% 3-0 @ 2.15% 4-1 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.79% Total : 32.21%	1-1 @ 11.94% 0-0 @ 6.28% 2-2 @ 5.68% 3-3 @ 1.2% Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.26%	0-1 @ 9.4% 1-2 @ 8.94% 0-2 @ 7.04% 1-3 @ 4.46% 0-3 @ 3.51% 2-3 @ 2.84% 1-4 @ 1.67% 0-4 @ 1.32% 2-4 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.28% Total : 42.52%

How you voted: Estonia vs Wales

Estonia

9.9%

Draw

14.2%

Wales

75.9%