Euro 2020

European Championship | Round of 16

Jun 26, 2021 at 5pm UK

Johan Cruijff Arena

Wales
0 - 4
Denmark

Rodon (26'), Moore (40'), Brooks (80'), Bale (90+3')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Dolberg (27', 48'), Maehle (88'), Braithwaite (90+4')

Reaction

Wales attacker Gareth Bale pictured at Euro 2020 on June 16, 2021

Gareth Bale admits Wales are "frustrated and angry" after Euro 2020 exit

Kasper Dolberg struck twice before late goals from Joakim Maehle and Martin Braithwaite capped an excellent Denmark display at the Johan Cruyff Arena.

Jun 26, 18:51

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Denmark win with a probability of 51.03%. A win for Wales had a probability of 25.4% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Denmark win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.48%) and 0-2 (8.29%). The likeliest Wales win was 2-1 (6.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Denmark would win this match.

Result
Wales	Draw	Denmark
25.4%	23.57%	51.03%

Both teams to score 56.86%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.74%

44.26%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.36%

66.63%

Wales Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.83%

31.16%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.5%

67.5%

Denmark Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.6%

17.4%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.17%

47.82%

Score Analysis

Wales 25.4%

Denmark 51.03%

Draw 23.56%

Wales	Draw	Denmark
2-1 @ 6.44% 1-0 @ 6.32% 2-0 @ 3.69% 3-1 @ 2.5% 3-2 @ 2.19% 3-0 @ 1.43% Other @ 2.83% Total : 25.4%	1-1 @ 11.05% 2-2 @ 5.64% 0-0 @ 5.42% 3-3 @ 1.28% Other @ 0.18% Total : 23.56%	1-2 @ 9.67% 0-1 @ 9.48% 0-2 @ 8.29% 1-3 @ 5.64% 0-3 @ 4.83% 2-3 @ 3.29% 1-4 @ 2.46% 0-4 @ 2.11% 2-4 @ 1.44% Other @ 3.82% Total : 51.03%