World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Europe | Group Stage

Nov 13, 2021 at 7.45pm UK

Millennium Stadium

Wales
5 - 1
Belarus

Ramsey (3', 50' pen.), Williams (20'), Davies (77'), Roberts (89')
Ampadu (59')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Kontsevoy (87')
Zolotov (25'), Antsilevski (79'), Ebong (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's World Cup Qualifying - Europe clash between Wales and Belarus, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wales win with a probability of 60.05%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Belarus had a probability of 15.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wales win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.25%) and 2-1 (8.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.03%), while for a Belarus win it was 0-1 (6.86%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wales would win this match.

Result
Wales	Draw	Belarus
60.05%	24.63%	15.32%

Both teams to score 39.07%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.85%

60.15%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.65%

80.35%

Wales Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80%

20%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.81%

52.19%

Belarus Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

48.84%

51.16%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

14.55%

85.45%

Score Analysis

Wales 60.04%

Belarus 15.32%

Draw 24.62%

Wales	Draw	Belarus
1-0 @ 16.46% 2-0 @ 13.25% 2-1 @ 8.88% 3-0 @ 7.11% 3-1 @ 4.77% 4-0 @ 2.86% 4-1 @ 1.92% 3-2 @ 1.6% 5-0 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.28% Total : 60.04%	1-1 @ 11.03% 0-0 @ 10.23% 2-2 @ 2.98% Other @ 0.38% Total : 24.62%	0-1 @ 6.86% 1-2 @ 3.7% 0-2 @ 2.3% Other @ 2.46% Total : 15.32%