/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fbellog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Festlog.png)
-
Christian Benteke
11'
-
Yannick Carrasco
53'
-
Thorgan Hazard
74'
-
Karol Mets
14'
-
Erik Sorga
70'
Belgium vs Estonia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F26%2Froberto-martinez.jpg)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belgium win with a probability of 67.74%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Estonia had a probability of 11.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Belgium win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.76%) and 3-0 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.52%), while for a Estonia win it was 0-1 (5.11%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Belgium would win this match.
Result
Belgium
67.74%
Draw
21.04%
Estonia
11.22%
Both Teams to Score:
38.2%
Goals
Over 2.5
44.75%
Under 2.5
55.25%
Over 3.5
23.52%
Under 3.5
76.48%
Belgium Goals
Over 0.5
84.51%
Under 0.5
15.49%
Over 1.5
55.62%
Under 1.5
44.38%
Estonia Goals
Over 0.5
45.2%
Under 0.5
54.8%
Over 1.5
12.24%
Under 1.5
87.76%
Score analysis
Belgium
67.73%
Draw
21.04%
Estonia
11.22%
Belgium
1-0
@
15.83%
2-0 @ 14.76%
3-0 @ 9.18%
2-1 @ 8.88%
3-1 @ 5.52%
4-0 @ 4.28%
4-1 @ 2.57%
3-2 @ 1.66%
5-0 @ 1.6%
Other @ 3.46%
Total : 67.73%
2-0 @ 14.76%
3-0 @ 9.18%
2-1 @ 8.88%
3-1 @ 5.52%
4-0 @ 4.28%
4-1 @ 2.57%
3-2 @ 1.66%
5-0 @ 1.6%
Other @ 3.46%
Total : 67.73%
Draw
1-1
@
9.52%
0-0 @ 8.49%
2-2 @ 2.67%
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 21.04%
0-0 @ 8.49%
2-2 @ 2.67%
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 21.04%
Estonia
0-1
@
5.11%
1-2 @ 2.86%
0-2 @ 1.54%
Other @ 1.72%
Total : 11.22%
1-2 @ 2.86%
0-2 @ 1.54%
Other @ 1.72%
Total : 11.22%