World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Europe | Group Stage

Nov 13, 2021 at 7.45pm UK

Belgium
3 - 1
Estonia

Benteke (11'), Carrasco (53'), Hazard (74')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Sorga (70')
Mets (14')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's World Cup Qualifying - Europe clash between Belgium and Estonia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belgium win with a probability of 67.74%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Estonia had a probability of 11.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Belgium win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.76%) and 3-0 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.52%), while for a Estonia win it was 0-1 (5.11%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Belgium would win this match.

Result
Belgium	Draw	Estonia
67.74%	21.04%	11.22%

Both teams to score 38.2%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.75%

55.25%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.52%

76.48%

Belgium Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.51%

15.49%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.62%

44.38%

Estonia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

45.2%

54.8%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

12.24%

87.76%

Score Analysis

Belgium 67.73%

Estonia 11.22%

Draw 21.04%

Belgium	Draw	Estonia
1-0 @ 15.83% 2-0 @ 14.76% 3-0 @ 9.18% 2-1 @ 8.88% 3-1 @ 5.52% 4-0 @ 4.28% 4-1 @ 2.57% 3-2 @ 1.66% 5-0 @ 1.6% 5-1 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.5% Total : 67.73%	1-1 @ 9.52% 0-0 @ 8.49% 2-2 @ 2.67% Other @ 0.36% Total : 21.04%	0-1 @ 5.11% 1-2 @ 2.86% 0-2 @ 1.54% Other @ 1.72% Total : 11.22%

How you voted: Belgium vs Estonia

Belgium

85.9%

Draw

9.0%

Estonia

5.1%