/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fwallog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fbellog.png)
-
Joe Rodon
55'
-
Rhys Norrington-Davies
68'
-
Brennan Johnson
86'
-
Yannick Carrasco
45'+1'
-
Youri Tielemans
51'
-
Arthur Theate
61'
Wales vs Belgium - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F22%2Frobert-page.jpg)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belgium win with a probability of 46.59%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Wales had a probability of 26.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Belgium win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.97%) and 0-2 (8.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.62%), while for a Wales win it was 1-0 (8.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.
Result
Wales
26.66%
▲
(+0.07)
Draw
26.76%
▲
(+0.03)
Belgium
46.59%
▼
(-0.10)
Both Teams to Score:
48.08%
▼
(-0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5
43.7%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 2.5
56.3%
▲
(+0.05)
Over 3.5
22.67%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 3.5
77.34%
▲
(+0.04)
Wales Goals
Over 0.5
63.39%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 0.5
36.61%
▼
(-0.04)
Over 1.5
26.6%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 1.5
73.4%
▼
(-0.04)
Belgium Goals
Over 0.5
75.85%
▼
(-0.06)
Under 0.5
24.15%
▲
(+0.07)
Over 1.5
41.54%
▼
(-0.09)
Under 1.5
58.47%
▲
(+0.09)
Score analysis
Wales
26.66%
Draw
26.75%
Belgium
46.59%
Wales
1-0
@
8.89%
▲
(+0.03)
2-1 @ 6.34% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 4.46% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 2.12% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.51% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 1.5% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 26.66%
2-1 @ 6.34% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 4.46% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 2.12% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.51% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 1.5% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 26.66%
Draw
1-1
@
12.62%
▲
(+0.01)
0-0 @ 8.84% ▲ (+0.02)
2-2 @ 4.51%
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 26.75%
0-0 @ 8.84% ▲ (+0.02)
2-2 @ 4.51%
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 26.75%
Belgium
0-1
@
12.56%
1-2 @ 8.97% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 8.93% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 4.25% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 4.23% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.13% ▼ (-0.01)
1-4 @ 1.51% ▼ (-0.01)
0-4 @ 1.5% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 46.59%
1-2 @ 8.97% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 8.93% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 4.25% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 4.23% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.13% ▼ (-0.01)
1-4 @ 1.51% ▼ (-0.01)
0-4 @ 1.5% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 46.59%