Belgium vs Netherlands - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Netherlands win with a probability of 37.85%. A win for Belgium had a probability of 37.46% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Netherlands win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.92%) and 0-2 (5.79%). The likeliest Belgium win was 2-1 (8.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Netherlands would win this match.