UEFA Nations League

Nations League | League A

Jun 8, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Millennium Stadium

Wales
1 - 2
Netherlands

Norrington-Davies (90+2')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Koopmeiners (50'), Weghorst (90+4')
Teze (3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Nations League clash between Wales and Netherlands, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how the Netherlands could line up for Wednesday's UEFA Nations League clash with Wales.

Form, Standings, Stats

Wales

Last Six:

Last Game: Wales 1-2 Netherlands
Wednesday, June 8 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Next Game: Wales vs. Belgium
Saturday, June 11 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current League A4 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Netherlands	2	4	6
2	Belgium	2	2	3
3	Poland	2	-4	3
4	Wales	2	-2	0

Netherlands

Last Six:

Last Game: Wales 1-2 Netherlands
Wednesday, June 8 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Next Game: Netherlands vs. Poland
Saturday, June 11 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current League A4 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Netherlands	2	4	6
2	Belgium	2	2	3
3	Poland	2	-4	3
4	Wales	2	-2	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Netherlands win with a probability of 48.99%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Wales had a probability of 23.44%.

The most likely scoreline for a Netherlands win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.11%) and 1-2 (8.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.63%), while for a Wales win it was 1-0 (9.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Netherlands would win this match.

Result
Wales	Draw	Netherlands
23.44% ( -0.06)	27.56% ( -0.03)	48.99% ( 0.09)

Both teams to score 43.21% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.83% (

0.05)

61.17% (

-0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.88% (

0.04)

81.12% (

-0.04)

Wales Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.75% (

-0.03)

42.25% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.35% (

-0.03)

78.65% (

0.03)

Netherlands Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.83% (

0.06)

25.17% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.11% (

0.09)

59.89% (

-0.09)

Score Analysis

Wales 23.44%

Netherlands 48.97%

Draw 27.55%

Wales	Draw	Netherlands
1-0 @ 9.16% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 5.45% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 3.95% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 1.56% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.13% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.08% ( -0) Other @ 1.11% Total : 23.44%	1-1 @ 12.63% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 10.63% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 3.76% ( 0) Other @ 0.54% Total : 27.55%	0-1 @ 14.66% 0-2 @ 10.11% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.72% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 4.65% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 4.01% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.73% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.61% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.38% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.11% Total : 48.97%