The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Nations League clash between Wales and Netherlands, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how the Netherlands could line up for Wednesday's UEFA Nations League clash with Wales.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Wales 1-2 Netherlands
Wednesday, June 8 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Wednesday, June 8 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Next Game: Wales vs. Belgium
Saturday, June 11 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Saturday, June 11 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Current League A4 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Netherlands | 2 | 4 | 6 |
2 | Belgium | 2 | 2 | 3 |
3 | Poland | 2 | -4 | 3 |
4 | Wales | 2 | -2 | 0 |
Last Game: Wales 1-2 Netherlands
Wednesday, June 8 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Wednesday, June 8 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Next Game: Netherlands vs. Poland
Saturday, June 11 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Saturday, June 11 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Current League A4 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Netherlands | 2 | 4 | 6 |
2 | Belgium | 2 | 2 | 3 |
3 | Poland | 2 | -4 | 3 |
4 | Wales | 2 | -2 | 0 |
We said: Wales 1-3 Netherlands
The result of Wednesday's game should pale into insignificance for a much-changed Wales side after the weekend's exploits, but Page's second-string XI still performed admirably against Poland. Changes can also be expected on the visitors' end as they seek to end the Dragons' lengthy unbeaten run at home, but we can only picture Van Gaal's merciless side giving Wales a harsh reality check in Cardiff. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Netherlands win with a probability of 48.99%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Wales had a probability of 23.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Netherlands win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.11%) and 1-2 (8.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.63%), while for a Wales win it was 1-0 (9.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Netherlands would win this match.
Result | ||
Wales | Draw | Netherlands |
23.44% ( -0.06) | 27.56% ( -0.03) | 48.99% ( 0.09) |
Both teams to score 43.21% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
38.83% ( 0.05) | 61.17% ( -0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
18.88% ( 0.04) | 81.12% ( -0.04) |
Wales Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.75% ( -0.03) | 42.25% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.35% ( -0.03) | 78.65% ( 0.03) |
Netherlands Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.83% ( 0.06) | 25.17% ( -0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.11% ( 0.09) | 59.89% ( -0.09) |
Score Analysis |
Wales 23.44%
Netherlands 48.97%
Draw 27.55%
Wales | Draw | Netherlands |
1-0 @ 9.16% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 5.45% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 3.95% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 1.56% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.13% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.08% ( -0) Other @ 1.11% Total : 23.44% | 1-1 @ 12.63% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 10.63% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 3.76% ( 0) Other @ 0.54% Total : 27.55% | 0-1 @ 14.66% 0-2 @ 10.11% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.72% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 4.65% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 4.01% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.73% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.61% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.38% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.11% Total : 48.97% |
How you voted: Wales vs Netherlands
Wales
16.3%Draw
8.9%Netherlands
74.8%246
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-04-24 14:27:16
ET
Yokohama
3-2
Ulsan
Pens.
(5-4)
Result
Munar
Borges
Borges
7 6
5 4
5 4
Result
Navone
Popyrin
Popyrin
7 6
5 2
5 2
Result
Vukic
Daniel
Daniel
2 77 1
6 61 6
6 61 6
Result
Bouzas Maneiro
Badosa
Badosa
2 6 6
6 3 3
6 3 3
Result
Davis
Sherif
Sherif
6 64 4
4 77 6
4 77 6
Result
Putintseva
Yuan
Yuan
6 6
2 4
2 4
Result
Stephens
Trevisan
Trevisan
6 5 6
3 7 4
3 7 4
Result
Zhu
Jimenez Kasintseva
Jimenez Kasintseva
4 3
6 6
6 6
Result
Altmaier
Landaluce
Landaluce
6 7
1 5
1 5
11.30am
Rinderknech
Shevchenko
Shevchenko
Result
Safiullin
Seyboth Wild
Seyboth Wild
4 4
6 6
6 6
11.30am
Arango
Anisimova
Anisimova
Result
Sorribes Tormo
Pera
Pera
7 6
5 2
5 2
11.30am
Zhang
Rogers
Rogers
Result
Osaka
Minnen
Minnen
6 6
4 1
4 1
Result
Vekic
Siegemund
Siegemund
6 6
1 2
1 2
1pm
Darderi
Monfils
Monfils
1pm
Karatsev
Marozsan
Marozsan
1pm
Van Assche
Bergs
Bergs
1pm
Linette
Cocciaretto
Cocciaretto
1pm
Wang
Tomova
Tomova
1pm
Wang
Dolehide
Dolehide
1.30pm
Dart
Bucsa
Bucsa
1.30pm
Raducanu
Lourdes Carle
Lourdes Carle
2.30pm
Bronzetti
Gracheva
Gracheva
2.30pm
Frech
Cristian
Cristian
2.30pm
Hibino
Krueger
Krueger
3pm
Coric
Hassan
Hassan
3pm
Kokkinakis
Draper
Draper
3pm
Nakashima
Bagnis
Bagnis
3pm
Van De Zandschulp
Eubanks
Eubanks
4pm
Baptiste
Saville
Saville
4pm
Bejlek
Blinkova
Blinkova
4pm
Errani
Wozniacki
Wozniacki
4pm
Montgomery
Avanesyan
Avanesyan
4.30pm
Klein
Llamas Ruiz
Llamas Ruiz
4.30pm
Burel
Danilovic
Danilovic
5pm
Moutet
Shang
Shang
5.30pm
Diaz Acosta
Shapovalov
Shapovalov
6pm
Andreeva
Townsend
Townsend
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arsenal | 34 | 24 | 5 | 5 | 82 | 26 | 56 | 77 |
2 | Liverpool | 33 | 22 | 8 | 3 | 75 | 32 | 43 | 74 |
3 | Manchester CityMan City | 32 | 22 | 7 | 3 | 76 | 32 | 44 | 73 |
4 | Aston Villa | 34 | 20 | 6 | 8 | 71 | 50 | 21 | 66 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 32 | 18 | 6 | 8 | 65 | 49 | 16 | 60 |
6 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 32 | 15 | 5 | 12 | 69 | 52 | 17 | 50 |
7 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 32 | 15 | 5 | 12 | 47 | 48 | -1 | 50 |
8 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 54 | 63 | -9 | 48 |
9 | Chelsea | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 61 | 57 | 4 | 47 |
10 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 32 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 52 | 50 | 2 | 44 |
11 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 33 | 12 | 7 | 14 | 46 | 53 | -7 | 43 |
12 | Fulham | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 50 | 54 | -4 | 42 |
13 | Bournemouth | 33 | 11 | 9 | 13 | 48 | 60 | -12 | 42 |
14 | Crystal Palace | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 42 | 56 | -14 | 36 |
15 | Brentford | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 52 | 59 | -7 | 35 |
16 | Everton | 33 | 10 | 8 | 15 | 34 | 48 | -14 | 30 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 42 | 60 | -18 | 26 |
18 | Luton TownLuton | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 47 | 75 | -28 | 25 |
19 | Burnley | 34 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 37 | 69 | -32 | 23 |
20 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 33 | 3 | 7 | 23 | 31 | 88 | -57 | 16 |
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