UEFA Nations League

Nations League | League A

Jun 1, 2022 at 5pm UK

National Stadium

Poland
2 - 1
Wales

Kaminski (72'), Swiderski (85')
Bereszynski (61')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Williams (52')
Morrell (29'), Norrington-Davies (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Nations League clash between Poland and Wales, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Poland

Last Six:

Last Game: Belgium 6-1 Poland
Wednesday, June 8 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Next Game: Netherlands vs. Poland
Saturday, June 11 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current League A4 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Netherlands	2	4	6
2	Belgium	2	2	3
3	Poland	2	-4	3
4	Wales	2	-2	0

Wales

Last Six:

Last Game: Wales 1-2 Netherlands
Wednesday, June 8 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Next Game: Wales vs. Belgium
Saturday, June 11 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current League A4 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Netherlands	2	4	6
2	Belgium	2	2	3
3	Poland	2	-4	3
4	Wales	2	-2	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Poland win with a probability of 43.81%. A win for Wales had a probability of 33.2% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Poland win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.74%) and 2-0 (5.92%). The likeliest Wales win was 1-2 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Poland in this match.

Result
Poland	Draw	Wales
43.81% ( -0.01)	23% ( 0.01)	33.2% ( -0)

Both teams to score 64.34% (

-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.24% (

-0.05)

36.76% (

0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.08% (

-0.05)

58.93% (

0.05)

Poland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.72% (

-0.02)

17.28% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.38% (

-0.04)

47.63% (

0.03)

Wales Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.79% (

-0.02)

22.22% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.36% (

-0.04)

55.64% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Poland 43.81%

Wales 33.2%

Draw 23%

Poland	Draw	Wales
2-1 @ 8.9% ( 0) 1-0 @ 6.74% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 5.92% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.21% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.92% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.46% 4-1 @ 2.29% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.72% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.52% ( -0) Other @ 4.14% Total : 43.81%	1-1 @ 10.14% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.69% ( -0) 0-0 @ 3.84% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.96% ( -0) Other @ 0.36% Total : 23%	1-2 @ 7.63% ( 0) 0-1 @ 5.78% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.35% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.83% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.36% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.18% 1-4 @ 1.44% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.26% ( -0) Other @ 3.39% Total : 33.2%