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UEFA Nations League header

UEFA Nations League
Poland national football team
Nations League | League A
Jun 1, 2022 at 5pm UK
National Stadium
Wales national football team

Poland
2 - 1
Wales

Kaminski (72'), Swiderski (85')
Bereszynski (61')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Williams (52')
Morrell (29'), Norrington-Davies (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Nations League clash between Poland and Wales, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Poland

Last Six:
Last Game: Belgium 6-1 Poland
Wednesday, June 8 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Next Game: Netherlands vs. Poland
Saturday, June 11 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Wales

Last Six:
Last Game: Wales 1-2 Netherlands
Wednesday, June 8 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Next Game: Wales vs. Belgium
Saturday, June 11 at 7.45pm in Nations League

We said: Poland 1-1 Wales

 Both teams will be determined to start their UEFA Nations League campaign with a victory, but we are predicting a tight affair on Wednesday evening. A draw would not be the worst result for either side, and we can see the pair sharing the spoils in this contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Poland win with a probability of 43.81%. A win for Wales had a probability of 33.2% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Poland win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.74%) and 2-0 (5.92%). The likeliest Wales win was 1-2 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Poland in this match.

Result
PolandDrawWales
43.81% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01) 23% (0.0079999999999991 0.01) 33.2% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Both teams to score 64.34% (-0.035000000000011 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.24% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)36.76% (0.041999999999994 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.08% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)58.93% (0.046999999999997 0.05)
Poland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.72% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)17.28% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.38% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)47.63% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Wales Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.79% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)22.22% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.36% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)55.64% (0.032000000000004 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Poland 43.81%
    Wales 33.2%
    Draw 23%
PolandDrawWales
2-1 @ 8.9% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-0 @ 6.74% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.92% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.21% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 3.92% (-0.004 -0)
3-0 @ 3.46%
4-1 @ 2.29% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
4-2 @ 1.72% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 1.52% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 4.14%
Total : 43.81%
1-1 @ 10.14% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.69% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-0 @ 3.84% (0.008 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.96% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 23%
1-2 @ 7.63% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-1 @ 5.78% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.35% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 3.83% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 3.36% (-0.004 -0)
0-3 @ 2.18%
1-4 @ 1.44% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-4 @ 1.26% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 33.2%

How you voted: Poland vs Wales

Poland
60.4%
Draw
19.3%
Wales
20.3%
374
rhs 2.0
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