Wales vs Ukraine - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wales win with a probability of 38.31%. A win for Ukraine had a probability of 32.31% and a draw had a probability of 29.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wales win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.64%) and 2-0 (7.48%). The likeliest Ukraine win was 0-1 (11.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Wales in this match.