World Cup Qualifying - Europe
Mar 24, 2022 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Gareth Bale 25' goal
  • Gareth Bale 51' goal
  • Harry Wilson 60' yellowcard
  • Neco Williams 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Christoph Baumgartner 24'
  • goal Ben Davies 65' (OG)
  • yellowcard Stefan Lainer 88'

Wales vs Austria - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Result
Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Wales

All competitions

Austria

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wales win with a probability of 40.7%. A win for Austria had a probability of 32.31% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wales win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.51%) and 2-0 (7.38%). The likeliest Austria win was 0-1 (9.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Wales in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Wales.

Result

Wales 40.7%
Draw 26.99%
Austria 32.31%

Both Teams to Score: 

50.31%

Goals

Over 2.5 45.15%
Under 2.5 54.86%
Over 3.5 23.85%
Under 3.5 76.15%

Wales Goals

Over 0.5 73.52%
Under 0.5 26.48%
Over 1.5 38.33%
Under 1.5 61.67%

Austria Goals

Over 0.5 68.43%
Under 0.5 31.57%
Over 1.5 32.03%
Under 1.5 67.97%

Score analysis

Wales 40.69%
Draw 26.99%
Austria 32.31%
Wales
1-0 @ 11.1%
2-1 @ 8.51%
2-0 @ 7.38%
3-1 @ 3.77%
3-0 @ 3.27%
3-2 @ 2.17%
4-1 @ 1.25%
4-0 @ 1.09%
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 40.69%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.8%
0-0 @ 8.36%
2-2 @ 4.91%
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 26.99%
Austria
0-1 @ 9.64%
1-2 @ 7.38%
0-2 @ 5.56%
1-3 @ 2.84%
0-3 @ 2.14%
2-3 @ 1.89%
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 32.31%

Head to Head

International Friendlies
Mar 27, 2020 7.45pm
World Cup Qualifying - Europe
Sep 2, 2017 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Ben Woodburn 74' goal
World Cup Qualifying - Europe
Oct 6, 2016 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 1 2
FT
  • Marko Arnautovic 28' goal
  • Marko Arnautovic 48' goal
  • goal Joe Allen 23'
  • goal Kevin Wimmer 45' (OG)
International Friendlies
Feb 6, 2013 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 2 1
FT
  • Gareth Bale 0' goal
  • Sam Vokes 0' goal
  • goal Mark Janko 0'