World Cup Qualifying - Europe
Oct 9, 2021 5.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 2
FT
  • Teemu Pukki 29' goal
  • goal Andriy Yarmolenko 4'
  • goal Roman Yaremchuk 34'
  • yellowcard Sergiy Krivtsov 37'

Finland vs Ukraine - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Finland

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying - Europe
Last game
Sep 7, 2021 7.45pm
France 2 - 0 Finland

Ukraine

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying - Europe
Last game
Sep 4, 2021 7.45pm
Ukraine 1 - 1 France

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Finland win with a probability of 39.1%. A win for Ukraine had a probability of 32.49% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Finland win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8%) and 2-0 (7.44%). The likeliest Ukraine win was 0-1 (10.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.

Result

Finland 39.1%
Draw 28.41%
Ukraine 32.49%

Both Teams to Score: 

46.2%

Goals

Over 2.5 39.96%
Under 2.5 60.03%
Over 3.5 19.73%
Under 3.5 80.26%

Finland Goals

Over 0.5 70.14%
Under 0.5 29.86%
Over 1.5 34.05%
Under 1.5 65.95%

Ukraine Goals

Over 0.5 65.87%
Under 0.5 34.13%
Over 1.5 29.18%
Under 1.5 70.81%

Score analysis

Finland 39.1%
Draw 28.41%
Ukraine 32.48%
Finland
1-0 @ 12.31%
2-1 @ 8%
2-0 @ 7.44%
3-1 @ 3.22%
3-0 @ 3%
3-2 @ 1.73%
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 39.1%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.24%
0-0 @ 10.19%
2-2 @ 4.3%
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 28.41%
Ukraine
0-1 @ 10.95%
1-2 @ 7.12%
0-2 @ 5.89%
1-3 @ 2.55%
0-3 @ 2.11%
2-3 @ 1.54%
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 32.48%

Head to Head

World Cup Qualifying - Europe
Mar 28, 2021 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Arena L'viv
  • Mykola Matviyenko 56' yellowcard
  • Junior Moraes 80' goal
  • Eduard Sobol 81' yellowcard
  • Georgiy Bushchan 88' yellowcard
  • Vitalii Mykolenko 89' redcard
  • yellowcard Glen Kamara 87'
  • goal Teemu Pukki 89'
  • yellowcard Joona Toivio 90'+4'
World Cup Qualifying - Europe
Jun 11, 2017 5.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Joel Pohjanpalo 72' goal
  • goal Evgen Konoplyanka 51'
  • goal Artem Besedin 75'
World Cup Qualifying - Europe
Nov 12, 2016 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Artem Kravets 25' goal