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World Cup

Finland national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Europe | Group Stage
Oct 9, 2021 at 5pm UK
 
Ukraine national football team

Finland
1 - 2
Ukraine

Pukki (29')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Yarmolenko (4'), Yaremchuk (34')
Krivtsov (37')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's World Cup Qualifying - Europe clash between Finland and Ukraine, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Finland win with a probability of 39.1%. A win for Ukraine had a probability of 32.49% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Finland win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8%) and 2-0 (7.44%). The likeliest Ukraine win was 0-1 (10.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.

Result
FinlandDrawUkraine
39.1%28.41%32.49%
Both teams to score 46.2%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.96%60.03%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.73%80.26%
Finland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.14%29.86%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.05%65.95%
Ukraine Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.87%34.13%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.18%70.81%
Score Analysis
    Finland 39.1%
    Ukraine 32.48%
    Draw 28.41%
FinlandDrawUkraine
1-0 @ 12.31%
2-1 @ 8%
2-0 @ 7.44%
3-1 @ 3.22%
3-0 @ 3%
3-2 @ 1.73%
4-1 @ 0.97%
4-0 @ 0.91%
Other @ 1.51%
Total : 39.1%
1-1 @ 13.24%
0-0 @ 10.19%
2-2 @ 4.3%
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 28.41%
0-1 @ 10.95%
1-2 @ 7.12%
0-2 @ 5.89%
1-3 @ 2.55%
0-3 @ 2.11%
2-3 @ 1.54%
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 32.48%

How you voted: Finland vs Ukraine

Finland
23.5%
Draw
30.0%
Ukraine
46.5%
170
rhs 2.0


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