Euro 2020

European Championship | Group Stage

Jun 21, 2021 at 5pm UK

Arena Naţională

Ukraine
0 - 1
Austria

FT(HT: 0-1)

Baumgartner (21')

Reaction

Austria coach Franco Foda on March 31, 2021

Austria boss Franco Foda: "We wanted to write history"

Victory over Ukraine earned Austria a last-16 meeting with Italy at Euro 2020.

Jun 21, 20:32

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austria win with a probability of 46.22%. A win for Ukraine had a probability of 29.35% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Austria win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.21%) and 0-2 (7.48%). The likeliest Ukraine win was 2-1 (7.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Austria would win this match.

Result
Ukraine	Draw	Austria
29.35%	24.44%	46.22%

Both teams to score 57.18%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.68%

45.31%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.35%

67.65%

Ukraine Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.22%

28.78%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.37%

64.63%

Austria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.28%

19.72%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.27%

51.73%

Score Analysis

Ukraine 29.35%

Austria 46.22%

Draw 24.43%

Ukraine	Draw	Austria
2-1 @ 7.15% 1-0 @ 7.07% 2-0 @ 4.4% 3-1 @ 2.97% 3-2 @ 2.41% 3-0 @ 1.83% 4-1 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.61% Total : 29.35%	1-1 @ 11.47% 2-2 @ 5.8% 0-0 @ 5.68% 3-3 @ 1.3% Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.43%	1-2 @ 9.32% 0-1 @ 9.21% 0-2 @ 7.48% 1-3 @ 5.04% 0-3 @ 4.05% 2-3 @ 3.14% 1-4 @ 2.05% 0-4 @ 1.64% 2-4 @ 1.28% Other @ 3.01% Total : 46.22%