/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fukrlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Ffinlog.png)
-
Mykola Matviyenko
56'
-
Junior Moraes
80'
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Eduard Sobol
81'
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Georgiy Bushchan
88'
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Vitalii Mykolenko
89'
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Glen Kamara
87'
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Teemu Pukki
89'
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Joona Toivio
90'+4'
Ukraine vs Finland - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ukraine win with a probability of 55.02%. A win for Finland had a probability of 24.65% and a draw had a probability of 20.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ukraine win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.73%) and 2-0 (6.38%). The likeliest Finland win was 1-2 (5.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.
Result
Ukraine
55.02%
Draw
20.34%
Finland
24.65%
Both Teams to Score:
67.79%
Goals
Over 2.5
70.43%
Under 2.5
29.58%
Over 3.5
49.32%
Under 3.5
50.68%
Ukraine Goals
Over 0.5
88.97%
Under 0.5
11.03%
Over 1.5
64.65%
Under 1.5
35.35%
Finland Goals
Over 0.5
76.2%
Under 0.5
23.8%
Over 1.5
42.03%
Under 1.5
57.97%
Score analysis
Ukraine
55.02%
Draw
20.34%
Finland
24.65%
Ukraine
2-1
@
9.16%
3-1 @ 6.73%
2-0 @ 6.38%
1-0 @ 5.79%
3-2 @ 4.83%
3-0 @ 4.69%
4-1 @ 3.71%
4-2 @ 2.66%
4-0 @ 2.58%
5-1 @ 1.64%
4-3 @ 1.27%
5-2 @ 1.17%
5-0 @ 1.14%
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 55.02%
3-1 @ 6.73%
2-0 @ 6.38%
1-0 @ 5.79%
3-2 @ 4.83%
3-0 @ 4.69%
4-1 @ 3.71%
4-2 @ 2.66%
4-0 @ 2.58%
5-1 @ 1.64%
4-3 @ 1.27%
5-2 @ 1.17%
5-0 @ 1.14%
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 55.02%
Draw
1-1
@
8.31%
2-2 @ 6.57%
0-0 @ 2.63%
3-3 @ 2.31%
Other @ 0.52%
Total : 20.34%
2-2 @ 6.57%
0-0 @ 2.63%
3-3 @ 2.31%
Other @ 0.52%
Total : 20.34%
Finland
1-2
@
5.96%
0-1 @ 3.77%
2-3 @ 3.15%
1-3 @ 2.85%
0-2 @ 2.71%
0-3 @ 1.29%
2-4 @ 1.13%
1-4 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 24.65%
0-1 @ 3.77%
2-3 @ 3.15%
1-3 @ 2.85%
0-2 @ 2.71%
0-3 @ 1.29%
2-4 @ 1.13%
1-4 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 24.65%