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World Cup

Ukraine national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Europe | Group Stage
Mar 28, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Arena L'viv
Finland national football team

Ukraine
1 - 1
Finland

Moraes (80')
Matviyenko (56'), Sobol (81'), Bushchan (88')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Pukki (89' pen.)
Kamara (87'), Toivio (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's World Cup Qualifying - Europe clash between Ukraine and Finland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ukraine win with a probability of 55.02%. A win for Finland had a probability of 24.65% and a draw had a probability of 20.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ukraine win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.73%) and 2-0 (6.38%). The likeliest Finland win was 1-2 (5.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.

Result
UkraineDrawFinland
55.02%20.34%24.65%
Both teams to score 67.79%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
70.43%29.58%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
49.32%50.68%
Ukraine Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.97%11.03%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.65%35.35%
Finland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.2%23.8%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.03%57.97%
Score Analysis
    Ukraine 55.02%
    Finland 24.65%
    Draw 20.34%
UkraineDrawFinland
2-1 @ 9.16%
3-1 @ 6.73%
2-0 @ 6.38%
1-0 @ 5.79%
3-2 @ 4.83%
3-0 @ 4.69%
4-1 @ 3.71%
4-2 @ 2.66%
4-0 @ 2.58%
5-1 @ 1.64%
4-3 @ 1.27%
5-2 @ 1.17%
5-0 @ 1.14%
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 55.02%
1-1 @ 8.31%
2-2 @ 6.57%
0-0 @ 2.63%
3-3 @ 2.31%
Other @ 0.52%
Total : 20.34%
1-2 @ 5.96%
0-1 @ 3.77%
2-3 @ 3.15%
1-3 @ 2.85%
0-2 @ 2.71%
0-3 @ 1.29%
2-4 @ 1.13%
1-4 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 24.65%