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UEFA Nations League

Finland national football team
Nations League | League B
Oct 14, 2020 at 5pm UK
 
Republic of Ireland national football team

Finland
1 - 0
Rep. Ireland

Jensen (67')
Jensen (42')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Connolly (81')

The Match

Match Report

New manager Stephen Kenny has seen his first five games pass without a win.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's UEFA Nations League clash between Finland and Republic of Ireland, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Finland win with a probability of 53.25%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Republic of Ireland had a probability of 18.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a Finland win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12%) and 2-1 (8.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.89%), while for a Republic of Ireland win it was 0-1 (8.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 17.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Finland in this match.

Result
FinlandDrawRepublic of Ireland
53.25%28.04%18.71%
Both teams to score 36.87%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
33.64%66.36%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
15.17%84.83%
Finland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.46%25.54%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.59%60.41%
Republic of Ireland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
49.52%50.48%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.01%84.99%
Score Analysis
    Finland 53.23%
    Republic of Ireland 18.71%
    Draw 28.04%
FinlandDrawRepublic of Ireland
1-0 @ 17.59%
2-0 @ 12%
2-1 @ 8.21%
3-0 @ 5.46%
3-1 @ 3.73%
4-0 @ 1.86%
3-2 @ 1.28%
4-1 @ 1.27%
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 53.23%
0-0 @ 12.89%
1-1 @ 12.03%
2-2 @ 2.81%
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 28.04%
0-1 @ 8.82%
1-2 @ 4.11%
0-2 @ 3.01%
1-3 @ 0.94%
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 18.71%