Nations League
Oct 10, 2020 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT NSK Olimpijs'kyj
  • Ruslan Malinovskiy 41' yellowcard
  • Ruslan Malinovskiy 77' goal
  • goal Matthias Ginter 20'
  • goal Leon Goretzka 49'
  • yellowcard Toni Kroos 53'
  • yellowcard Matthias Ginter 84'

Ukraine vs Germany - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

Ukraine

All competitions
Nations League
Last game
Sep 6, 2020 7.45pm
Spain 4 - 0 Ukraine

Germany

All competitions
Nations League
Last game
Sep 6, 2020 7.45pm
Switzerland 1 - 1 Germany

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Germany win with a probability of 38.09%. A win for Ukraine had a probability of 35.07% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Germany win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.25%) and 0-2 (6.71%). The likeliest Ukraine win was 1-0 (9.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Germany would win this match.

Result

Ukraine 35.07%
Draw 26.83%
Germany 38.09%

Both Teams to Score: 

51.37%

Goals

Over 2.5 46.24%
Under 2.5 53.76%
Over 3.5 24.76%
Under 3.5 75.23%

Ukraine Goals

Over 0.5 70.78%
Under 0.5 29.22%
Over 1.5 34.83%
Under 1.5 65.17%

Germany Goals

Over 0.5 72.58%
Under 0.5 27.42%
Over 1.5 37.1%
Under 1.5 62.89%

Score analysis

Ukraine 35.07%
Draw 26.83%
Germany 38.09%
Ukraine
1-0 @ 9.86%
2-1 @ 7.85%
2-0 @ 6.06%
3-1 @ 3.22%
3-0 @ 2.49%
3-2 @ 2.08%
Other @ 3.52%
Total : 35.07%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.75%
0-0 @ 8.01%
2-2 @ 5.08%
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 26.83%
Germany
0-1 @ 10.36%
1-2 @ 8.25%
0-2 @ 6.71%
1-3 @ 3.56%
0-3 @ 2.89%
2-3 @ 2.19%
1-4 @ 1.15%
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 38.09%

Head to Head

European Championship
Jun 12, 2016 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stade Pierre Mauroy
  • Shkodran Mustafi 19' goal
  • Bastian Schweinsteiger 92' goal
  • yellowcard Yevhen Konoplyanka 68'