UEFA Nations League header

UEFA Nations League

Ukraine national football team
Nations League | League A
Oct 10, 2020 at 7.45pm UK
NSK Olimpijs'kyj
Germany national football team

Ukraine
1 - 2
Germany

Malinovskiy (77' pen.)
Malinovskiy (41')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Ginter (20'), Goretzka (49')
Kroos (53'), Ginter (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's UEFA Nations League clash between Ukraine and Germany, including team news and predicted lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how Germany could line up in Saturday's UEFA Nations League clash with Ukraine.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Germany win with a probability of 38.09%. A win for Ukraine had a probability of 35.07% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Germany win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.25%) and 0-2 (6.71%). The likeliest Ukraine win was 1-0 (9.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Germany would win this match.

Result
UkraineDrawGermany
35.07%26.83%38.09%
Both teams to score 51.37%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.24%53.76%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.76%75.23%
Ukraine Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.78%29.22%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.83%65.17%
Germany Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.58%27.42%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.1%62.89%
Score Analysis
    Ukraine 35.07%
    Germany 38.09%
    Draw 26.83%
UkraineDrawGermany
1-0 @ 9.86%
2-1 @ 7.85%
2-0 @ 6.06%
3-1 @ 3.22%
3-0 @ 2.49%
3-2 @ 2.08%
4-1 @ 0.99%
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 35.07%
1-1 @ 12.75%
0-0 @ 8.01%
2-2 @ 5.08%
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 26.83%
0-1 @ 10.36%
1-2 @ 8.25%
0-2 @ 6.71%
1-3 @ 3.56%
0-3 @ 2.89%
2-3 @ 2.19%
1-4 @ 1.15%
0-4 @ 0.94%
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 38.09%