France national football team
Friendlies 1
Oct 7, 2020 at 8.10pm UK
Stade Auguste Delaune
Ukraine national football team

France
7 - 1
Ukraine

Camavinga (9'), Giroud (24', 34'), Mykolenko (39' og.), Tolisso (65'), Mbappe (82'), Griezmann (89')
FT(HT: 4-0)
Tsygankov (53')
Malinovskiy (43'), Kharatin (51'), Konoplia (61')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's international friendly between France and Ukraine, including team news and predicted lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how France could line up for Wednesday's international friendly against Ukraine.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a France win with a probability of 72.54%. A draw had a probability of 17.6% and a win for Ukraine had a probability of 9.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a France win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.46%) and 3-0 (10.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.34%), while for a Ukraine win it was 0-1 (3.79%). The actual scoreline of 7-1 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that France would win this match.

Result
FranceDrawUkraine
72.54%17.62%9.84%
Both teams to score 43.38%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.75%45.25%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.41%67.59%
France Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.95%11.05%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.62%35.38%
Ukraine Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
48.77%51.23%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.5%85.5%
Score Analysis
    France 72.52%
    Ukraine 9.84%
    Draw 17.62%
FranceDrawUkraine
2-0 @ 13.73%
1-0 @ 12.46%
3-0 @ 10.08%
2-1 @ 9.19%
3-1 @ 6.75%
4-0 @ 5.56%
4-1 @ 3.72%
5-0 @ 2.45%
3-2 @ 2.26%
5-1 @ 1.64%
4-2 @ 1.24%
Other @ 3.46%
Total : 72.52%
1-1 @ 8.34%
0-0 @ 5.66%
2-2 @ 3.07%
Other @ 0.55%
Total : 17.62%
0-1 @ 3.79%
1-2 @ 2.79%
0-2 @ 1.27%
Other @ 2%
Total : 9.84%