MX23RW : Thursday, April 25 13:16:50| >> :600:2751472:2751472:
Sweden national football team
Nations League | League A
Sep 5, 2020 at 7.45pm UK
Friends Arena
France national football team

Sweden
0 - 1
France


Lindelof (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Mbappe (41')
Upamecano (3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's UEFA Nations League clash between Sweden and France, including team news and predicted lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how France could line up in Saturday's UEFA Nations League clash with Sweden.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sweden win with a probability of 39.26%. A win for France had a probability of 32.64% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sweden win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.1%) and 2-0 (7.4%). The likeliest France win was 0-1 (10.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.

Result
SwedenDrawFrance
39.26%28.11%32.64%
Both teams to score 47.09%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.05%58.94%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.57%79.43%
Sweden Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.76%29.23%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.81%65.19%
France Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.55%33.45%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.92%70.08%
Score Analysis
    Sweden 39.25%
    France 32.63%
    Draw 28.11%
SwedenDrawFrance
1-0 @ 12.02%
2-1 @ 8.1%
2-0 @ 7.4%
3-1 @ 3.32%
3-0 @ 3.03%
3-2 @ 1.82%
4-1 @ 1.02%
4-0 @ 0.93%
Other @ 1.61%
Total : 39.25%
1-1 @ 13.17%
0-0 @ 9.78%
2-2 @ 4.43%
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 28.11%
0-1 @ 10.7%
1-2 @ 7.21%
0-2 @ 5.86%
1-3 @ 2.63%
0-3 @ 2.14%
2-3 @ 1.62%
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 32.63%

Head to Head
Jun 9, 2017 7.45pm
Group Stage
Sweden
2-1
France
Durmaz (43'), Toivonen (93')
Giroud (37')
Nov 11, 2016 7.45pm
Group Stage
France
2-1
Sweden
Pogba (58'), Payet (65')
Forsberg (55')
Nov 18, 2014 8pm
International Friendlies
France
1-0
Sweden
Jun 19, 2012 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
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