Nations League
Sep 3, 2020 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Mercedes-Benz-Arena
  • Timo Werner 51' goal
  • goal Jose Gaya 90'+6'

Germany vs Spain - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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News

The match

Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

Germany

All competitions

Spain

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spain win with a probability of 39.28%. A win for Germany had a probability of 36.66% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spain win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.37%) and 0-2 (5.73%). The likeliest Germany win was 2-1 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11% likelihood.

Result

Germany 36.66%
Draw 24.06%
Spain 39.28%

Both Teams to Score: 

61.18%

Goals

Over 2.5 58.77%
Under 2.5 41.23%
Over 3.5 36.38%
Under 3.5 63.62%

Germany Goals

Over 0.5 77.57%
Under 0.5 22.44%
Over 1.5 44.04%
Under 1.5 55.97%

Spain Goals

Over 0.5 78.87%
Under 0.5 21.13%
Over 1.5 46.03%
Under 1.5 53.98%

Score analysis

Germany 36.66%
Draw 24.06%
Spain 39.28%
Germany
2-1 @ 8.23%
1-0 @ 7.09%
2-0 @ 5.29%
3-1 @ 4.1%
3-2 @ 3.19%
3-0 @ 2.64%
4-1 @ 1.53%
4-2 @ 1.19%
Other @ 3.4%
Total : 36.66%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.01%
2-2 @ 6.4%
0-0 @ 4.74%
3-3 @ 1.65%
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 24.06%
Spain
1-2 @ 8.56%
0-1 @ 7.37%
0-2 @ 5.73%
1-3 @ 4.44%
2-3 @ 3.32%
0-3 @ 2.97%
1-4 @ 1.72%
2-4 @ 1.29%
0-4 @ 1.15%
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 39.28%

Head to Head

International Friendlies
Mar 26, 2020 7.45pm
International Friendlies
Mar 23, 2018 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Esprit Arena
  • Thomas Muller 35' goal
  • goal Rodrigo 6'
International Friendlies
Nov 18, 2014 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Raul Garcia 63' yellowcard
  • goal Toni Kroos 89'
European Under-21s Championship
Jun 9, 2013 7.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • goal Alvaro Morata 0'
World Cup
Jul 7, 2010 7.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Moses Mabhida Stadium
  • goal Carles Puyol 73'
European Championship
Jun 29, 2008 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Ernst-Happel-Stadion
  • Michael Ballack 43' yellowcard
  • Kevin Kuranyi 88' yellowcard
  • goal Fernando Torres 33'
  • yellowcard Iker Casillas 43'
  • yellowcard Fernando Torres 74'

Build-up

Predicted Lineups