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World Cup

Ukraine national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Europe | Group Stage
Mar 31, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Arena L'viv
Kazakhstan national football team

Ukraine
1 - 1
Kazakhstan

Yaremchuk (20')
Zinchenko (89'), Marlos (89')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Muzhikov (59')
Alip (6'), Abiken (36'), Muzhikov (43'), Vorogovskiy (62'), Karimov (70'), Pokatilov (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's World Cup Qualifying - Europe clash between Ukraine and Kazakhstan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ukraine win with a probability of 62.02%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Kazakhstan had a probability of 16.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ukraine win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.96%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.11%), while for a Kazakhstan win it was 0-1 (5.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.

Result
UkraineDrawKazakhstan
62.02%21.29%16.7%
Both teams to score 51.09%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.52%45.49%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.18%67.82%
Ukraine Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.89%14.11%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.26%41.74%
Kazakhstan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.49%40.51%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.88%77.12%
Score Analysis
    Ukraine 62.01%
    Kazakhstan 16.7%
    Draw 21.29%
UkraineDrawKazakhstan
1-0 @ 11.19%
2-0 @ 10.96%
2-1 @ 9.9%
3-0 @ 7.16%
3-1 @ 6.47%
4-0 @ 3.5%
4-1 @ 3.17%
3-2 @ 2.92%
4-2 @ 1.43%
5-0 @ 1.37%
5-1 @ 1.24%
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 62.01%
1-1 @ 10.11%
0-0 @ 5.72%
2-2 @ 4.47%
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 21.29%
0-1 @ 5.17%
1-2 @ 4.57%
0-2 @ 2.33%
1-3 @ 1.38%
2-3 @ 1.35%
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 16.7%