World Cup Qualifying - Europe | Play-offs - Semi-finals
Jun 1, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Hampden Park
Scotland1 - 3Ukraine
FT(HT: 0-1)
Yarmolenko (33'), Yaremchuk (49'), Dovbyk (90+5')
Yaremchuk (5'), Malinovskyi (11'), Shaparenko (84')
Yaremchuk (5'), Malinovskyi (11'), Shaparenko (84')
The Match
Match Report
Ukraine record a 3-1 victory over Scotland in their World Cup playoff semi-final on an emotion-fuelled evening in Glasgow.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Wednesday's World Cup Qualifying - Europe clash between Scotland and Ukraine, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Scotland 2-0 Armenia
Wednesday, June 8 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Wednesday, June 8 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Next Game: Rep. Ireland vs. Scotland
Saturday, June 11 at 5pm in Nations League
Saturday, June 11 at 5pm in Nations League
| Current League B1 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Scotland | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Republic of Ireland | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Ukraine | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Armenia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Last Game: Rep. Ireland 0-1 Ukraine
Wednesday, June 8 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Wednesday, June 8 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Next Game: Ukraine vs. Armenia
Saturday, June 11 at 2pm in Nations League
Saturday, June 11 at 2pm in Nations League
| Current League B1 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Scotland | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Republic of Ireland | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Ukraine | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Armenia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Scotland win with a probability of 50.02%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Ukraine had a probability of 24.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Scotland win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.53%) and 2-1 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.2%), while for a Ukraine win it was 0-1 (8%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Scotland | Draw | Ukraine |
50.02% ( -0.01) | 25.77% ( 0) | 24.21% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 48.77% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
