World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Europe | Group Stage

Oct 9, 2021 at 5pm UK

Hampden Park

Scotland
3 - 2
Israel

McGinn (30'), Dykes (57'), McTominay (90+4')
McGinn (49'), Robertson (55'), Gilmour (81'), Patterson (85')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Zahavi (5'), Dabour (32')
Natcho (44'), Zahavi (56'), Bitton (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's World Cup Qualifying - Europe clash between Scotland and Israel, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Scotland win with a probability of 51.82%. A win for Israel had a probability of 25.28% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Scotland win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.71%) and 2-0 (7.98%). The likeliest Israel win was 1-2 (6.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.58%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Scotland would win this match.

Result
Scotland	Draw	Israel
51.82%	22.89%	25.28%

Both teams to score 59.03%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.68%

41.32%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.28%

63.71%

Scotland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.97%

16.03%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.62%

45.37%

Israel Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.3%

29.7%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.25%

65.75%

Score Analysis

Scotland 51.82%

Israel 25.28%

Draw 22.89%

Scotland	Draw	Israel
2-1 @ 9.69% 1-0 @ 8.71% 2-0 @ 7.98% 3-1 @ 5.91% 3-0 @ 4.87% 3-2 @ 3.59% 4-1 @ 2.71% 4-0 @ 2.23% 4-2 @ 1.64% 5-1 @ 0.99% Other @ 3.52% Total : 51.82%	1-1 @ 10.58% 2-2 @ 5.88% 0-0 @ 4.76% 3-3 @ 1.45% Other @ 0.22% Total : 22.89%	1-2 @ 6.42% 0-1 @ 5.78% 0-2 @ 3.51% 1-3 @ 2.6% 2-3 @ 2.38% 0-3 @ 1.42% Other @ 3.17% Total : 25.28%