We said: Austria 1-1 Scotland
Austria will be a wounded side due to their playoff disappointment, and there are expected to be changes to their XI from the clash with Wales. Scotland will fancy their chances of picking up another positive result, though, and we are expecting a low-scoring draw to take place on Tuesday night.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austria win with a probability of 38.21%. A win for Scotland had a probability of 35.52% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Austria win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.36%) and 2-0 (6.53%). The likeliest Scotland win was 0-1 (9.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.