UEFA Nations League

Nations League | League A

Jun 11, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Netherlands
2 - 2
Poland

Klaassen (51'), Dumfries (54')
Berghuis (59'), Bergwijn (63'), de Jong (86')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Cash (18'), Zielinski (49')
Krychowiak (16'), Bednarek (20'), Skorupski (63'), Zielinski (83'), Zurkowski (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Nations League clash between Netherlands and Poland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how the Netherlands could line up for Saturday's UEFA Nations League clash with Poland.

Form, Standings, Stats

Netherlands

Last Six:

Last Game: Wales 1-2 Netherlands
Wednesday, June 8 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current League A4 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Netherlands	2	4	6
2	Belgium	2	2	3
3	Poland	2	-4	3
4	Wales	2	-2	0

Poland

Last Six:

Last Game: Belgium 6-1 Poland
Wednesday, June 8 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current League A4 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Netherlands	2	4	6
2	Belgium	2	2	3
3	Poland	2	-4	3
4	Wales	2	-2	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Netherlands win with a probability of 60.79%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Poland had a probability of 17.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a Netherlands win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.83%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.34%), while for a Poland win it was 0-1 (5.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.

Result
Netherlands	Draw	Poland
60.79% ( 0.06)	21.77%	17.43% ( -0.06)

Both teams to score 51.05% (

-0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.69% (

-0.09)

46.32% (

0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.4% (

-0.08)

68.6% (

0.09)

Netherlands Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.24% (

-0.01)

14.77% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.99% (

-0.02)

43.01% (

0.02)

Poland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.89% (

-0.12)

40.11% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.25% (

-0.11)

76.75% (

0.11)

Score Analysis

Netherlands 60.78%

Poland 17.43%

Draw 21.77%

Netherlands	Draw	Poland
1-0 @ 11.32% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 10.83% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.9% ( -0) 3-0 @ 6.91% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 6.31% ( -0) 4-0 @ 3.3% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 3.02% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.88% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.38% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.26% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.16% ( -0) Other @ 2.51% Total : 60.78%	1-1 @ 10.34% 0-0 @ 5.92% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.52% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.98% Total : 21.77%	0-1 @ 5.41% ( 0) 1-2 @ 4.73% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 2.47% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.44% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.01% Total : 17.43%