Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage

Jun 3, 2022 at 8pm UK

Stade de Marrakech

Burkina Faso
2 - 0
Cape Verde

Bande (58'), Ouattara (88')
Bande (59'), Tapsoba (60')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Miguel Pereira Fernandes (41'), Tavares (61')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Burkina Faso and Cape Verde, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Burkina Faso

Last Six:

Last Game: Eswatini 1-3 Burkina Faso
Tuesday, June 7 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Next Game: Burkina Faso vs. Togo
Sunday, September 18 at 11pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Cameroon	3	4	7
2	Burkina Faso	3	0	4
3	Cape Verde	3	0	4
4	Ethiopia	3	-4	1

Cape Verde

Last Six:

Last Game: Cape Verde 2-0 Togo
Tuesday, June 7 at 6.30pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Next Game: Cape Verde vs. Eswatini
Sunday, September 18 at 11pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Cameroon	3	4	7
2	Burkina Faso	3	0	4
3	Cape Verde	3	0	4
4	Ethiopia	3	-4	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burkina Faso win with a probability of 40.25%. A win for Cape Verde had a probability of 31.97% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burkina Faso win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.28%) and 2-0 (7.55%). The likeliest Cape Verde win was 0-1 (10.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Burkina Faso would win this match.

Result
Burkina Faso	Draw	Cape Verde
40.25% ( 0.03)	27.77% ( -0.02)	31.97% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 47.88% (

0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.12% (

0.07)

57.88% (

-0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.4% (

0.05)

78.6% (

-0.06)

Burkina Faso Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.85% (

0.05)

28.15% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.16% (

0.06)

63.84% (

-0.07)

Cape Verde Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.64% (

0.03)

33.36% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.01% (

0.03)

69.98% (

-0.04)

Score Analysis

Burkina Faso 40.25%

Cape Verde 31.97%

Draw 27.77%

Burkina Faso	Draw	Cape Verde
1-0 @ 11.9% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.28% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.55% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.5% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.19% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.92% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.11% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.01% ( 0) Other @ 1.79% Total : 40.25%	1-1 @ 13.06% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.39% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.55% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.77% Total : 27.77%	0-1 @ 10.31% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.17% ( 0) 0-2 @ 5.66% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.63% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.07% 2-3 @ 1.66% ( 0) Other @ 2.47% Total : 31.97%