Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage

Mar 24, 2023 at 7pm UK

Burkina Faso
1 - 0
Togo

Tapsoba (87')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Coverage of the Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying Group Stage clash between Burkina Faso and Togo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Burkina Faso

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Last Game: Burkina Faso 2-1 Ivory Coast
Saturday, November 19 at 4pm in International Friendlies

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Cameroon	3	4	7
2	Burkina Faso	3	0	4
3	Cape Verde	3	0	4
4	Ethiopia	3	-4	1

Togo

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Last Game: Eq Guinea 2-2 Togo
Tuesday, September 27 at 3pm in International Friendlies

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Congo DR	3	3	7
2	Morocco	3	2	6
3	Ivory Coast	3	-1	2
4	Togo	3	-4	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burkina Faso win with a probability of 68.86%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Togo had a probability of 10.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burkina Faso win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.96%) and 3-0 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.28%), while for a Togo win it was 0-1 (4.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Burkina Faso in this match.

Result
Burkina Faso	Draw	Togo
68.86% ( 0.01)	20.48% ( 0.07)	10.66% ( -0.08)

Both teams to score 37.94% (

-0.43)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.49% (

-0.45)

54.51% (

0.45)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.13% (

-0.37)

75.87% (

0.37)

Burkina Faso Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.11% (

-0.14)

14.89% (

0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.76% (

-0.27)

43.24% (

0.27)

Togo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

44.58% (

-0.43)

55.42% (

0.43)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

11.87% (

-0.26)

88.13% (

0.26)

Score Analysis

Burkina Faso 68.85%

Togo 10.66%

Draw 20.48%

Burkina Faso	Draw	Togo
1-0 @ 15.71% ( 0.19) 2-0 @ 14.96% ( 0.11) 3-0 @ 9.5% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.83% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 5.61% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 4.53% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.67% ( -0.04) 5-0 @ 1.72% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.66% ( -0.04) 5-1 @ 1.02% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.65% Total : 68.85%	1-1 @ 9.28% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.25% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 2.61% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.35% Total : 20.48%	0-1 @ 4.87% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 2.74% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 1.44% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.61% Total : 10.66%