Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burkina Faso win with a probability of 68.86%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Togo had a probability of 10.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burkina Faso win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.96%) and 3-0 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.28%), while for a Togo win it was 0-1 (4.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Burkina Faso in this match.