Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Jun 7, 2022 6.30pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stade de Marrakech
  • Iuri Antonio Teixeira Tavares 10' goal
  • Roberto Lopes 58' yellowcard
  • Jamiro Monteiro 90'+4' goal
  • yellowcard Floyd Ayite 50'

Cape Verde vs Togo - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Cape Verde

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last game
Jun 3, 2022 8.00pm
Burkina Faso 2 - 0 Cape Verde

Togo

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last game
Jun 3, 2022 5.00pm
Togo 2 - 2 Eswatini

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cape Verde win with a probability of 40.7%. A win for Togo had a probability of 35.31% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cape Verde win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.48%) and 2-0 (5.95%). The likeliest Togo win was 1-2 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Cape Verde would win this match.

Result

Cape Verde 40.7% (-0.01)
Draw 23.99% (-0.01)
Togo 35.31% (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

61.25% (+0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5 58.95% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 41.05% (-0.03)
Over 3.5 36.56% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 63.44% (-0.03)

Cape Verde Goals

Over 0.5 79.61% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 20.38% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 47.19% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 52.81% (-0.02)

Togo Goals

Over 0.5 76.93% (+0.03)
Under 0.5 23.07% (-0.03)
Over 1.5 43.1% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 56.9% (-0.04)

Score analysis

Cape Verde 40.7%
Draw 23.98%
Togo 35.31%
Cape Verde
2-1 @ 8.72% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 7.48% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 5.95% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.62% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.39% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 3.15% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.84%
4-2 @ 1.35% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.25% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 40.7%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.96% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 6.4% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 4.7% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.66% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 23.98%
Togo
1-2 @ 8.04% (+0.01)
0-1 @ 6.9% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 5.06% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 3.93% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 3.13% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 2.47% (+0.01)
1-4 @ 1.44% (+0.01)
2-4 @ 1.15% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 35.31%