Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burkina Faso win with a probability of 46.84%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Comoros had a probability of 26.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burkina Faso win was 1-0 with a probability of 13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.13%) and 2-1 (8.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.68%), while for a Comoros win it was 0-1 (9.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Burkina Faso would win this match.