Ivory Coast national football team
International Friendly
Sep 24, 2022 at 5pm UK
Stade Robert Diochon
Togo national football team

Ivory Coast
2 - 1
Togo

Fofana (60'), Kessie (68')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Dermane (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's International Friendlies clash between Ivory Coast and Togo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ivory Coast

All competitions:
International Friendlies form:
Last Game: Ivory Coast 2-1 Togo
Saturday, September 24 at 5pm in International Friendlies
Next Game: Ivory Coast vs. Guinea
Tuesday, September 27 at 7pm in International Friendlies

Togo

All competitions:
International Friendlies form:
Last Game: Ivory Coast 2-1 Togo
Saturday, September 24 at 5pm in International Friendlies
Next Game: Eq Guinea vs. Togo
Tuesday, September 27 at 1am in International Friendlies

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ivory Coast win with a probability of 58.4%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Togo had a probability of 18.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ivory Coast win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.31%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.09%), while for a Togo win it was 0-1 (6.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ivory Coast would win this match.

Result
Ivory CoastDrawTogo
58.4% (-0.359 -0.36)23.43% (-0.035 -0.04)18.16% (0.396 0.4)
Both teams to score 47.37% (0.794 0.79)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.05% (0.689 0.69)51.95% (-0.687 -0.69)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.3% (0.592 0.59)73.69% (-0.59100000000001 -0.59)
Ivory Coast Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.47% (0.123 0.12)17.52% (-0.121 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.95% (0.212 0.21)48.04% (-0.212 -0.21)
Togo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.43% (0.879 0.88)42.56% (-0.876 -0.88)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.08% (0.743 0.74)78.92% (-0.741 -0.74)
Score Analysis
    Ivory Coast 58.4%
    Togo 18.16%
    Draw 23.43%
Ivory CoastDrawTogo
1-0 @ 12.99% (-0.3 -0.3)
2-0 @ 11.31% (-0.22 -0.22)
2-1 @ 9.66% (0.046000000000001 0.05)
3-0 @ 6.57% (-0.102 -0.1)
3-1 @ 5.61% (0.049 0.05)
4-0 @ 2.86% (-0.033 -0.03)
4-1 @ 2.44% (0.031 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.4% (0.078 0.08)
4-2 @ 1.04% (0.038 0.04)
5-0 @ 1% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 58.4%
1-1 @ 11.09% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.46% (-0.206 -0.21)
2-2 @ 4.13% (0.118 0.12)
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 23.43%
0-1 @ 6.37% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-2 @ 4.74% (0.117 0.12)
0-2 @ 2.72% (0.057 0.06)
1-3 @ 1.35% (0.065 0.07)
2-3 @ 1.18% (0.061 0.06)
Other @ 1.81%
Total : 18.16%

How you voted: Ivory Coast vs Togo

Ivory Coast
89.7%
Draw
10.3%
Togo
0.0%
29
Head to Head
Jan 16, 2017 4pm
Group C
Ivory Coast
0-0
Togo
Jan 22, 2013 3pm
Group D
Ivory Coast
2-1
Togo
Toure, Gervinho
Ayite
> Match Report