UEFA Nations League

Nations League | League A

Sep 22, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Belgium
2 - 1
Wales

De Bruyne (10'), Batshuayi (37')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Moore (50')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Nations League clash between Belgium and Wales, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Belgium

Last Six:

Comp:

Last Game: Poland 0-1 Belgium
Tuesday, June 14 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current League A4 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Netherlands	4	5	10
2	Belgium	4	3	7
3	Poland	4	-5	4
4	Wales	4	-3	1

Wales

Last Six:

Comp:

Last Game: Netherlands 3-2 Wales
Tuesday, June 14 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current League A4 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Netherlands	4	5	10
2	Belgium	4	3	7
3	Poland	4	-5	4
4	Wales	4	-3	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belgium win with a probability of 54.85%. A win for Wales had a probability of 24.26% and a draw had a probability of 20.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Belgium win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.96%) and 3-1 (6.64%). The likeliest Wales win was 1-2 (6.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Belgium in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Belgium.

Result
Belgium	Draw	Wales
54.85% ( 0.11)	20.88% ( -0.13)	24.26% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 65.22% (

0.5)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

67.3% (

0.65)

32.7% (

-0.65)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

45.62% (

0.74)

54.38% (

-0.75)

Belgium Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.9% (

0.24)

12.1% (

-0.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.35% (

0.51)

37.65% (

-0.51)

Wales Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.19% (

0.37)

25.81% (

-0.37)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.23% (

0.5)

60.77% (

-0.5)

Score Analysis

Belgium 54.85%

Wales 24.26%

Draw 20.88%

Belgium	Draw	Wales
2-1 @ 9.43% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 6.96% ( -0.11) 3-1 @ 6.64% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 6.59% ( -0.17) 3-0 @ 4.9% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 4.5% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 3.51% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 2.59% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 2.38% ( 0.06) 5-1 @ 1.48% ( 0.03) 5-0 @ 1.09% ( 0.02) 4-3 @ 1.07% ( 0.04) 5-2 @ 1% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.7% Total : 54.85%	1-1 @ 8.93% ( -0.13) 2-2 @ 6.39% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 3.12% ( -0.11) 3-3 @ 2.03% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.41% Total : 20.88%	1-2 @ 6.05% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 4.23% ( -0.1) 2-3 @ 2.88% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 2.86% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 2.73% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.29% ( -0) 2-4 @ 0.98% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 0.93% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.31% Total : 24.26%