UEFA Nations League

Nations League | League A

Jun 14, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

National Stadium

Poland
0 - 1
Belgium

Zurkowski (47')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Batshuayi (16')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Nations League clash between Poland and Belgium, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Poland

Last Six:

Last Game: Netherlands 2-2 Poland
Saturday, June 11 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current League A4 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Netherlands	3	4	7
2	Belgium	3	2	4
3	Poland	3	-4	4
4	Wales	3	-2	1

Belgium

Last Six:

Last Game: Wales 1-1 Belgium
Saturday, June 11 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current League A4 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Netherlands	3	4	7
2	Belgium	3	2	4
3	Poland	3	-4	4
4	Wales	3	-2	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belgium win with a probability of 43.68%. A win for Poland had a probability of 32.52% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Belgium win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.74%) and 0-2 (6.43%). The likeliest Poland win was 2-1 (7.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Belgium would win this match.

Result
Poland	Draw	Belgium
32.52% ( -0.09)	23.79% ( -0)	43.68% ( 0.09)

Both teams to score 61.12% (

-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.14% (

-0.03)

40.85% (

0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.75% (

-0.03)

63.24% (

0.04)

Poland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.45% (

-0.07)

24.55% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.97% (

-0.1)

59.02% (

0.11)

Belgium Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.01% (

0.03)

18.98% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.46% (

0.04)

50.53% (

-0.04)

Score Analysis

Poland 32.52%

Belgium 43.68%

Draw 23.78%

Poland	Draw	Belgium
2-1 @ 7.64% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 6.55% ( -0) 2-0 @ 4.6% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.58% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.97% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.15% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.26% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.04% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.74% Total : 32.52%	1-1 @ 10.87% 2-2 @ 6.35% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.66% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.65% ( -0) Other @ 0.26% Total : 23.78%	1-2 @ 9.04% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 7.74% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 6.43% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 5% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 3.56% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 3.51% ( -0) 1-4 @ 2.08% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.48% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.46% ( 0) Other @ 3.37% Total : 43.68%