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UEFA Nations League header

UEFA Nations League
Poland national football team
Nations League | League A
Jun 14, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
National Stadium
Belgium national football team

Poland
0 - 1
Belgium


Zurkowski (47')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Batshuayi (16')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Nations League clash between Poland and Belgium, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Poland

Last Six:
Last Game: Netherlands 2-2 Poland
Saturday, June 11 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Belgium

Last Six:
Last Game: Wales 1-1 Belgium
Saturday, June 11 at 7.45pm in Nations League

We said: Poland 1-1 Belgium

 Poland will be determined to gain revenge on Belgium following their heavy defeat in the first meeting, but we are struggling to separate the two sides here. A point would not be the worst result for either team, and a tight contest on Tuesday evening could end with the spoils being shared. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belgium win with a probability of 43.68%. A win for Poland had a probability of 32.52% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Belgium win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.74%) and 0-2 (6.43%). The likeliest Poland win was 2-1 (7.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Belgium would win this match.

Result
PolandDrawBelgium
32.52% (-0.090999999999994 -0.09) 23.79% (-0.00099999999999767 -0) 43.68% (0.094999999999999 0.09)
Both teams to score 61.12% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.14% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)40.85% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.75% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)63.24% (0.037999999999997 0.04)
Poland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.45% (-0.071000000000012 -0.07)24.55% (0.074000000000002 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.97% (-0.102 -0.1)59.02% (0.106 0.11)
Belgium Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.01% (0.027000000000001 0.03)18.98% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.46% (0.040000000000006 0.04)50.53% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Poland 32.52%
    Belgium 43.68%
    Draw 23.78%
PolandDrawBelgium
2-1 @ 7.64% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-0 @ 6.55% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-0 @ 4.6% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.58% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.97% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.15% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.26% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.04% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 32.52%
1-1 @ 10.87%
2-2 @ 6.35% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.66% (0.008 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.65% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 23.78%
1-2 @ 9.04% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-1 @ 7.74% (0.02 0.02)
0-2 @ 6.43% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
1-3 @ 5% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-3 @ 3.56% (0.014 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.51% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-4 @ 2.08% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.48% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.46% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3.37%
Total : 43.68%

How you voted: Poland vs Belgium

Poland
31.6%
Draw
24.6%
Belgium
43.8%
256
Head to Head
Jun 8, 2022 7.45pm
League A4
Belgium
6-1
Poland
Witsel (42'), De Bruyne (59'), Trossard (73', 80'), Dendoncker (83'), Openda (90+3')
Witsel (36')
Lewandowski (28')
Krychowiak (14')
rhs 2.0
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