Netherlands vs Wales - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Netherlands win with a probability of 60.17%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Wales had a probability of 16.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Netherlands win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.96%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.89%), while for a Wales win it was 0-1 (6.2%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Netherlands would win this match.