Mexico vs Iraq - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mexico win with a probability of 57.53%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Iraq had a probability of 15.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mexico win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.19%) and 2-1 (8.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.21%), while for a Iraq win it was 0-1 (7.73%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Mexico would win this match.