Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mexico win with a probability of 50.79%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Peru had a probability of 24.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mexico win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.52%) and 2-0 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.85%), while for a Peru win it was 0-1 (7.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Mexico in this match.

Result
Mexico	Draw	Peru
50.79% ( -0.34)	24.92% ( 0)	24.29% ( 0.34)

Both teams to score 51.36% (

0.36)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.02% (

0.3)

50.98% (

-0.29)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.15% (

0.26)

72.85% (

-0.26)

Mexico Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.92% (

-0.02)

20.08% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.69% (

-0.03)

52.31% (

0.04)

Peru Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.25% (

0.47)

35.75% (

-0.47)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.48% (

0.48)

72.52% (

-0.47)

Score Analysis

Mexico 50.79%

Peru 24.29%

Draw 24.92%

Mexico	Draw	Peru
1-0 @ 11.52% ( -0.14) 2-1 @ 9.52% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.25% ( -0.12) 3-1 @ 5.09% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4.95% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 2.62% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 2.05% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.99% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.05% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.75% Total : 50.79%	1-1 @ 11.85% 0-0 @ 7.18% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 4.9% ( 0.06) Other @ 1% Total : 24.92%	0-1 @ 7.38% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.1% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 3.8% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 2.09% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 1.68% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 1.3% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.94% Total : 24.29%