International Friendlies
Sep 25, 2022 2.00am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Soldier Field
  • Hirving Lozano 85' goal

Mexico vs Peru - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Mexico

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Sep 1, 2022 2.00am
Mexico 0 - 1 Paraguay

Peru

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Jun 5, 2022 4.30pm
Peru 1 - 0 New Zealand

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mexico win with a probability of 50.79%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Peru had a probability of 24.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mexico win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.52%) and 2-0 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.85%), while for a Peru win it was 0-1 (7.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Mexico in this match.

Result

Mexico 50.79% (-0.34)
Draw 24.92% (+0.01)
Peru 24.29% (+0.35)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.36% (+0.37)

Goals

Over 2.5 49.02% (+0.30)
Under 2.5 50.98% (-0.30)
Over 3.5 27.15% (+0.27)
Under 3.5 72.85% (-0.26)

Mexico Goals

Over 0.5 79.92% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 20.08% (+0.03)
Over 1.5 47.69% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 52.31% (+0.04)

Peru Goals

Over 0.5 64.25% (+0.48)
Under 0.5 35.75% (-0.47)
Over 1.5 27.48% (+0.49)
Under 1.5 72.52% (-0.48)

Score analysis

Mexico 50.79%
Draw 24.92%
Peru 24.29%
Mexico
1-0 @ 11.52% (-0.15)
2-1 @ 9.52% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 9.25% (-0.13)
3-1 @ 5.09% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 4.95% (-0.08)
3-2 @ 2.62% (+0.04)
4-1 @ 2.05% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.99% (-0.03)
4-2 @ 1.05% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 50.79%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.85%
0-0 @ 7.18% (-0.09)
2-2 @ 4.9% (+0.06)
Other @ 1%
Total : 24.92%
Peru
0-1 @ 7.38% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 6.1% (+0.08)
0-2 @ 3.8% (+0.06)
1-3 @ 2.09% (+0.06)
2-3 @ 1.68% (+0.05)
0-3 @ 1.3% (+0.04)
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 24.29%