International Friendlies
Sep 1, 2022 2.00am
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Luis Romo 83' yellowcard
  • goal Derlis Gonzalez 50'
  • yellowcard Mateo Gamarra 90'+1'

Mexico vs Paraguay - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Mexico

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Jun 6, 2022 12.30am
Mexico 0 - 0 Ecuador

Paraguay

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Jun 10, 2022 12.00pm
South Korea 2 - 2 Paraguay

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mexico win with a probability of 52.76%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Paraguay had a probability of 20.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mexico win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.88%) and 2-1 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.15%), while for a Paraguay win it was 0-1 (8.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.

Result

Mexico 52.76% (+0.12)
Draw 26.27% (+0.01)
Paraguay 20.97% (-0.13)

Both Teams to Score: 

43.81% (-0.16)

Goals

Over 2.5 41.06% (-0.13)
Under 2.5 58.94% (+0.13)
Over 3.5 20.58% (-0.10)
Under 3.5 79.42% (+0.10)

Mexico Goals

Over 0.5 77.52% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 22.49% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 43.96% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 56.04% (+0.01)

Paraguay Goals

Over 0.5 56.52% (-0.21)
Under 0.5 43.48% (+0.21)
Over 1.5 20.31% (-0.17)
Under 1.5 79.69% (+0.18)

Score analysis

Mexico 52.76%
Draw 26.27%
Paraguay 20.97%
Mexico
1-0 @ 14.59% (+0.08)
2-0 @ 10.88% (+0.06)
2-1 @ 9.07% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 5.42% (+0.03)
3-1 @ 4.51% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 2.02% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.88% (-0.02)
4-1 @ 1.68% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 52.76%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.15% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 9.78% (+0.05)
2-2 @ 3.78% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.56%
Total : 26.27%
Paraguay
0-1 @ 8.14% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 5.06% (-0.04)
0-2 @ 3.39% (-0.03)
1-3 @ 1.41% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.05% (-0.02)
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 20.97%

Head to Head

International Friendlies
Mar 27, 2019 2.00am
4
2
HT : 3 0
FT Levi's Stadium (Santa Clara, California)
  • Jonathan dos Santos 6' goal
  • Gustavo Gomez 9' goal
  • Javier Hernandez 24' goal
  • Erick Gutierrez 30' yellowcard
  • Miguel Layun 64' yellowcard
  • Luis Montes 89' yellowcard
  • Luis Montes 91' goal
  • yellowcard Junior Alonso 49'
  • goal Hernan Perez 59'
  • redcard Miguel Almiron 63'
  • yellowcard Oscar Romero 65'
  • goal Derlis Gonzalez 84'
Under-20s World Cup
Jun 25, 2013 4.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • goal Derlis Gonzalez 0'