South Korea national football team
International Friendly
Jun 10, 2022 at 12pm UK
 
Paraguay national football team

South Korea
2 - 2
Paraguay

Heung-min (66'), Woo-yeong (90+3')
Woo-yeong (81'), (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Almiron (23', 49')
Gomez (65'), Ortiz (90+2'), Villasanti (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's International Friendlies clash between South Korea and Paraguay, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Six:
Last Game: South Korea 2-0 Chile
Monday, June 6 at 12pm in International Friendlies
Last Six:
Last Game: Japan 4-1 Paraguay
Thursday, June 2 at 11am in International Friendlies

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Korea win with a probability of 55.85%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Paraguay had a probability of 20.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a South Korea win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.44%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.33%), while for a Paraguay win it was 0-1 (6.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.

Result
South KoreaDrawParaguay
55.85% (0.070999999999998 0.07)23.84% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)20.3% (-0.059000000000001 -0.06)
Both teams to score 49.6% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.21% (-0.012 -0.01)50.79% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.32% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)72.68% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
South Korea Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.97% (0.02000000000001 0.02)18.03% (-0.025000000000002 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.08% (0.036999999999999 0.04)48.92% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Paraguay Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.51% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)39.49% (0.063000000000002 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.82% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)76.18% (0.057000000000002 0.06)
Score Analysis
    South Korea 55.83%
    Paraguay 20.3%
    Draw 23.84%
South KoreaDrawParaguay
1-0 @ 12.19% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 10.44% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.71% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 5.97% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.54% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 2.58% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-0 @ 2.56% (0.008 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.37% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 1.1%
Other @ 3.38%
Total : 55.83%
1-1 @ 11.33% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.12% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-2 @ 4.51% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 23.84%
0-1 @ 6.62% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 5.27% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.07% (-0.01 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.63% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.4% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 0.95% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 1.37%
Total : 20.3%

How you voted: South Korea vs Paraguay

South Korea
85.1%
Draw
4.5%
Paraguay
10.4%
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