MX23RW : Wednesday, December 11 14:55:11| >> :60:664:664:
Peru national football team
International Friendly
Jun 5, 2022 at 4.30pm UK
RCDE Stadium
New Zealand national football team

Peru
1 - 0
New Zealand

Lapadula (69')
Yotun (55'), Zambrano (84')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Tuiloma (14'), Lewis (56'), Reid (58')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's International Friendlies clash between Peru and New Zealand, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Peru

Last Six:
Last Game: Peru 1-0 New Zealand
Sunday, June 5 at 4.30pm in International Friendlies
Current Group B Standings P GD PTS
1Brazil4810
2Peru4-27
3Colombia4-14
4Ecuador4-13
5Venezuela4-42

New Zealand

Last Six:
Last Game: Oman 0-0 New Zealand
Thursday, June 9 at 7pm in International Friendlies
Next Game: Australia vs. New Zealand
Sunday, September 25 at 4am in International Friendlies

We said: Peru 2-0 New Zealand

 The outcome of this game could depend heavily on the lineups of both teams, as well as their character and desire in pushing for a win that would mean very little. However, despite this, Peru certainly possess the greater quality and find themselves on a strong run of form, achieved against much stronger opponents than New Zealand have in their success of late, so it should be a fairly routine victory for the South Americans in Barcelona. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peru win with a probability of 50.47%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for New Zealand had a probability of 21.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Peru win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.74%) and 2-1 (8.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.49%), while for a New Zealand win it was 0-1 (9.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Peru in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Peru.

Result
PeruDrawNew Zealand
50.47% (0.068000000000005 0.07) 27.73% (0.0070000000000014 0.01) 21.8% (-0.071999999999999 -0.07)
Both teams to score 41.16% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.09% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)62.91% (0.075999999999993 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.6% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)82.4% (0.055000000000007 0.06)
Peru Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.74% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)25.26% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.98% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)60.02% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
New Zealand Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.08% (-0.119 -0.12)44.92% (0.122 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.13% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)80.87% (0.096999999999994 0.1)
Score Analysis
    Peru 50.46%
    New Zealand 21.8%
    Draw 27.72%
PeruDrawNew Zealand
1-0 @ 15.61% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-0 @ 10.74% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 8.6% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.93% (0.012 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.94% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
4-0 @ 1.7% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.58% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.36% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 50.46%
1-1 @ 12.49% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 11.34% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 3.44% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 0.45%
Total : 27.72%
0-1 @ 9.08% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
1-2 @ 5% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-2 @ 3.63% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.33% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
0-3 @ 0.97% (-0.007 -0.01)
2-3 @ 0.92% (-0.007 -0.01)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 21.8%

How you voted: Peru vs New Zealand

Peru
75.4%
Draw
9.8%
New Zealand
14.8%
61
rhs 2.0
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